Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Portland Timbers.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Los Angeles FC, 25% draw, 49% Portland Timbers — fair odds of 3.85, 4.00 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Portland Timbers at 49% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids20 August 2026
- L0-1San Diego16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
- W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
- W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026
Portland Timbers
- W3-1San Diego20 August 2026
- L1-2away to Chicago Fire16 August 2026
- W2-1Seattle Sounders2 August 2026
- W2-1Real Salt Lake26 July 2026
- D2-2FC Dallas23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | +14 | 40 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers
- 11 April 2026Portland Timbers 2–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 28 January 2026Los Angeles FC 2–2 Portland TimbersFriendlies Clubs
- 26 July 2025Los Angeles FC 0–1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 20 April 2025Portland Timbers 3–3 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 29 January 2025Los Angeles FC 1–0 Portland TimbersFriendlies Clubs
- 28 April 2024Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
- D. Bouanga13 goals5 assists
Portland Timbers
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.