Stellenbosch vs Chippa United Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Stellenbosch 0-2 Chippa United.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Stellenbosch, 32% draw, 22% Chippa United — fair odds of 2.17, 3.13 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Stellenbosch at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Stellenbosch vs Chippa United
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17S. StephensG
- 37T. LebitsoD
- 30Spiwe MsimangoD
- 4L. VenaD
- 27T. MashegoD
- 26S. NkwaliM
- 32DanielsM
- 33C. ButsakaM
- 28L. MatlouM
- 22Q. SibandeM
- 14S. KwayibaF
- 1N. GarrowG
- 20Keanan JohannessenM
- 10A. Du PreezF
- 31D. MatshekeD
- 6T. MthethwaM
- 11Q. PlaatjiesF
- 2Kgaogelo RamushuD
- 21G. TaunyanaD
- 23S. NwabaliG
- 28B. MadingwaneD
- 37T. MakaraD
- 35H. MajadiboduD
- 31I. JonesD
- 20G. MoseleM
- 25S. KammiesM
- 22A. MobaraM
- 15A. TshobeniM
- 10A. MatroseM
- 7J. FiguareidoF
- 9A. BonaniM
- 47D. DiakiteM
- 40M. KhanyiF
- 29N. MlotshwaM
- 5Seun NdlovuD
- 50B. SamD
- 18E. SitholeG
- 34L. TshabalalaM
- 44Ibrahim BanceM
Form going into Stellenbosch vs Chippa United
Stellenbosch
Premier Soccer League
- D1-1away to Kaizer Chiefs13 October 2026
- W1-0away to Kruger United19 September 2026
- D1-1Sekhukhune United11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Durban City1 September 2026
Chippa United
Premier Soccer League
- L0-1Kruger United17 October 2026
- W1-0away to TS Galaxy20 September 2026
- D1-1Mamelodi Sundowns12 September 2026
- D0-0Milford FC5 September 2026
What these results say
- Stellenbosch went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Stellenbosch had two goals or fewer.
- Stellenbosch failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Chippa United had two goals or fewer.
- Chippa United failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Stellenbosch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Chippa United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Stellenbosch vs Chippa United
- 21 March 2026Stellenbosch 2–1 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 28 September 2025Chippa United 0–0 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
- 30 April 2025Stellenbosch 1–0 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 23 October 2024Chippa United 0–2 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
- 1 March 2024Stellenbosch 1–1 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
- 11 November 2023Chippa United 0–0 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Stellenbosch and Chippa United
Stellenbosch
GoalsAssists
- Q. Plaatjies30
Chippa United
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Chippa United won 2–0 at Stellenbosch. The model had leaned towards a win for Stellenbosch at 46% and given a win for Chippa United 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: K. Majadibodu 27' for Chippa United, Imraan Jones 83' for Chippa United. On expected goals it finished 1.02–1.09.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Stellenbosch a 10.2% chance to finish in the top four: 12.9% after a win, 7.4% after a draw, 6.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.5%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.
For Chippa United the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 21.8% going in: 14.0% after a win, 19.0% after a draw, 25.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.0%, 7.8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier Soccer League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.