31 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah Stars League prediction & result

Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Al-Duhail SC 3-1 Al Wakrah.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Al-Duhail SC, 24% draw, 26% Al Wakrah — fair odds of 2.00, 4.17 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al-Duhail SC at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Krzysztof Piątekassist: Marco Verratti
14'
28'
Nabil Irfan
36'
Omar Salah
41'
⚽Amine Zouhzouhassist: Aissa Laïdouni
45'
🔁Luis Albertoout: Mohamed Simo
🔁Mubarak Shanan Hamzaout: Sekou Oumar Yansané
45'
45'
🔁Nabil Irfanout: Nasser Al-Yazidi
62'
🔁Gelson Dalaout: Almahdi Ali
Assim Madibo
68'
🔁Assim Madiboout: Amidou Doumbouya
75'
🔁Almoez Aliout: Adam Abdullah Belmadi
83'
⚽Omair Abdulla (OG)
85'
⚽Sekou Oumar Yansanéassist: Krzysztof Piątek
87'
90+3'
🔁Omar Salahout: Rabh Boussafi
90+3'
🔁Amine Zouhzouhout: Abdelrahman Zaky
🔁Adam Abdullah Belmadiout: Yazan Hani Mohamed
90+3'

Match stats — Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah

62%Possession38%
19Shots12
7On target3
3Corners5
1.78xG1.19

Goals against chances

Al-Duhail SC3 from 1.78 xGmore than the chances were worth
Al Wakrah1 from 1.19 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Duhail SC 4-2-3-1
  • 1Salah ZakariaG
  • 21J. CastellettoD
  • 3Lucas TutaD
  • 5Bassam Al RawiD
  • 18Sultan Al BraikD
  • 23Assim MadiboM
  • 24B. SoumaréM
  • 19Almoez AliM
  • 6M. VerrattiM
  • 8Mubarak Shanan HamzaM
  • 9K. PiątekF
Substitutes
  • 29Rashid Al AbdullaM
  • 97A. BelmadiF
  • 30A. DoumbouyaD
  • 37Z. El JaouniD
  • 36Adam Riyad FraikhM
  • 76Y. A. El AjamiF
  • 27Abdalla Mugib GamerD
  • 7S. YansanéF
  • 22I. BambaM
Coach: D. Belmadi
Al Wakrah 4-4-2
  • 99Omair Al SayedG
  • 16Nabil IrfanD
  • 3P. CalioneD
  • 2Lucas MendesD
  • 12Murad Naji HusseinD
  • 7A. AssalM
  • 6Omar Al OsadM
  • 93A. LaïdouniM
  • 10Gelson DalaM
  • 18Luis AlbertoF
  • 75A. ZouhzouhF
Substitutes
  • 14A. ZakyM
  • 22Yousef Mohammed RamadanG
  • 5Ahmed FadelM
  • 34Moayed HassanF
  • 17R. BoussafiF
  • 26Abdollah Ali SaeiM
  • 15Almahdi AliD
  • 20Nasser Al YazidiM
  • 1Mohammed Al BakriG
Coach: J. Sierra

Form going into Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah

Al-Duhail SC

Stars League

  • W3-1Lusail City24 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Al Sadd18 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Al Shamal8 October 2026

Al Wakrah

Stars League

  • W3-2Al-Arabi SC24 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Al Ahli Doha16 October 2026
  • W3-2Al-Gharafa8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Al-Duhail SC9630208+1221
8Al Wakrah93241419-511

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah

  • 15 January 2026Al Wakrah 0–2 Al-Duhail SCStars League
  • 23 August 2025Al-Duhail SC 0–1 Al WakrahStars League
  • 7 February 2025Al-Duhail SC 2–0 Al WakrahStars League
  • 13 December 2024Al-Duhail SC 3–1 Al WakrahQSL Cup
  • 14 September 2024Al Wakrah 0–2 Al-Duhail SCStars League
  • 10 March 2024Al Wakrah 2–1 Al-Duhail SCStars League

Leading scorers: Al-Duhail SC and Al Wakrah

Al-Duhail SC

GoalsAssists

  • K. Piątek33
  • Almoez Ali30
  • B. Soumaré30

Al Wakrah

GoalsAssists

  • B. Bounedjah40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al-Duhail SC beat Al Wakrah 3–1. The model had made a win for Al-Duhail SC its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Krzysztof Piątek 14' for Al-Duhail SC, Amine Zouhzouh 41' for Al Wakrah, Omair Abdulla (own goal) 85' for Al-Duhail SC, Sekou Oumar Yansané 87' for Al-Duhail SC. On expected goals it finished 1.78–1.19.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al-Duhail SC a 14.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 23.1% after a win, 6.5% after a draw, 2.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.1%, 8.7 points higher than before the match.

For Al Wakrah the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 32.3% going in: 59.2% after a win, 30.2% after a draw, 19.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.3%, 13 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Stars League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.