31 October 2026, 14:15 UTC

Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City Stars League prediction & result

Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Al-Sailiya 1-2 Lusail City.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Al-Sailiya, 25% draw, 52% Lusail City — fair odds of 4.35, 4.00 and 1.92.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Lusail City at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Sailiya3%Draw91%Lusail City6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Abdelaziz Mitwali
1'
⚽Andri Sudarmanto
3'
22'
Emanuel Mesquita
Raoul Danzabe Sanda
34'
38'
⚽Khaled Mohammed
52'
🔁Khaled Mansourout: Ali Karami
🔁Mohamed Taabouniout: Abdulaziz Al-Bakri
62'
🔁Andri Sudarmantoout: Ahmed Doozandeh
62'
62'
🔁Mohamed Aiashout: Muhammad Taher Khan
68'
🔁Naif Al-Hadhramiout: Saud Jjbril
68'
🔁Franco Russoout: Abdulhadi Al-Oun
🔁Younès Belhandaout: Mus'ab Al-Batat
80'
🔁Abdelaziz Mitwaliout: Abdulla Mahmoud Mahmoud
81'
Joselu
86'
🔁Kellian van der Kaapout: Awab Elawad·Hussain
90'
90+2'
Hamidreza Firouzi
Youssef Mohamed Sayed
90+3'
90+4'
⚽Rodrigo Machadoassist: Hamidreza Firouzi
90+6'
Khaled Mohammed

Match stats — Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City

45%Possession55%
9Shots16
5On target6
3Corners5
0.78xG1.49

Goals against chances

Al-Sailiya1 from 0.78 xGabout what the chances were worth
Lusail City2 from 1.49 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Sailiya 4-2-3-1
  • 50Youssef SayedG
  • 5Abdulrahman MohamedD
  • 55K. van der KaapD
  • 15M. NaniD
  • 14A. MitwaliD
  • 20Y. BelhandaM
  • 25R. DanzabeM
  • 9Ali OlwanM
  • 22Andri SyahputraM
  • 10M. TaabouniM
  • 13JoseluF
Substitutes
  • 67M. OsmanM
  • 6Moataz BostamiM
  • 77Mouz Gadelseed AbdallaD
  • 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
  • 71Mus'ab Al BattatD
  • 1B. BurkeG
  • 8Ahmed DoozandehM
  • 7Mohab Mohammed EissaM
  • 18Awab HussainD
Coach: Mirghany Al-Zein
Lusail City 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. ShakouriG
  • 2A. PilaliD
  • 4F. RussoD
  • 27M. AiashD
  • 66A. NematiD
  • 6O. EbrahimiM
  • 14K. MansourM
  • 20Naif Al HadhramiM
  • 8Khaled MohammedM
  • 11H. FirouziM
  • 19RodrigoF
Substitutes
  • 10S. JjbrilM
  • 77Mohamed Al AshwalG
  • 15Abdulhadi Kasr Al-OunM
  • 30H. KamalD
  • 3Ali MalolahD
  • 96Amir HassanG
  • 5A. Al KaratlyM
  • 45Muhammad Taher KhanM
Coach: Emanuel Mesquita

Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City

Al-Sailiya

Stars League

  • L1-6Al-Rayyan SC23 October 2026
  • D2-2Qatar SC17 October 2026
  • L0-5away to Al Ahli Doha10 October 2026

Lusail City

Stars League

  • L1-3away to Al-Duhail SC24 October 2026
  • D0-0Al Shamal17 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Al Shahaniya10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Al-Sailiya9018933-241
5Lusail City93331311+212

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City

  • 20 February 2025Lusail City 0–0 Al-SailiyaSecond Division
  • 24 October 2024Al-Sailiya 2–3 Lusail CitySecond Division
  • 28 February 2024Al-Sailiya 1–1 Lusail CitySecond Division
  • 31 October 2023Lusail City 0–1 Al-SailiyaSecond Division
  • 16 September 2023Lusail City 2–3 Al-SailiyaQFA Cup
  • 21 April 2021Lusail City 0–1 Al-SailiyaQFA Cup

Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Lusail City

Al-Sailiya

No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Lusail City

GoalsAssists

  • Rodrigo60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lusail City won 2–1 at Al-Sailiya. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Lusail City at 52%. The goals: Andri Sudarmanto 3' for Al-Sailiya, Khaled Mohammed 38' for Lusail City, Rodrigo Machado 90+4' for Lusail City. On expected goals it finished 0.78–1.49.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al-Sailiya a 95.6% chance to finish in the bottom two: 86.1% after a win, 98.0% after a draw, 99.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.0%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.

For Lusail City the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 11.7% going in: 3.2% after a win, 14.8% after a draw, 26.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.2%, 8.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Stars League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.