Sturm Graz sit 11th in the UEFA Europa League on 1 points from 1 match, having scored 0 and conceded 0 — level on goal difference. The model rates their attack at 0.65× the league average and their defence at 1.35× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Their only league match so far ended in a draw, drawing with Rennes 0-0 at home. That leaves them 2 points behind Sparta Praha at the top, in a table of 36. Among the 36 rated sides in the division that is the 31st-best attack and the 27th-best defence. Next they travel to Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Ferencvarosi TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Levski Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Lillestrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | OFI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Union St. Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 34 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Sturm Graz sit 11 of 36, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D0-0Rennes16 September 2026
Last 1 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz travel to Red Bull Salzburg at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg on 20 September 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 29% Sturm Graz, 27% draw and 44% Red Bull Salzburg, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.25 expected goals for Sturm Graz against 1.84. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Full preview and model analysis for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Recent meetings with Red Bull Salzburg
- 3 May 2026Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 20 March 2026Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 9 November 2025Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 20 September 2025Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 9 May 2025Sturm Graz 4–2 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.