Albacete vs Oviedo Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Albacete 0-1 Oviedo.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Albacete, 26% draw, 45% Oviedo — fair odds of 3.45, 3.85 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Oviedo at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Albacete vs Oviedo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13D. MarinoG
- 15F. GamezD
- 23PepeD
- 22L. LopezD
- 21C. NevaD
- 2LorenzoM
- 18S. OrtunoM
- 6A. PachecoM
- 17J. CorpasM
- 16Munir El HaddadiF
- 9M. SoberonF
- 1C. MarinG
- 24J. VallejoD
- 5J. MorenoD
- 27D. BernabeuD
- 4Agus MedinaM
- 8J. VillarM
- 32A. AlbarracinF
- 38D. RodriguezM
- 33T. InglesF
- 13A. EscandellG
- 2A. AhmedD
- 4D. CostasD
- 23C. DominguezD
- 3J. CruzD
- 15S. RodriguezD
- 20P. SaenzM
- 6D. VillahermosaM
- 5Y. LachhabM
- 11J. GonzalezM
- 24A. IsfanF
- 1M. NarvaezG
- 12D. CalvoD
- 22N. VidalD
- 16A. AldasoroM
- 10A. ReinaM
- 28D. MenendezM
- 32E. PerezM
- 18V. MingoF
- 17E. PedrolaM
Form going into Albacete vs Oviedo
Albacete
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Real Sociedad II22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Las Palmas16 August 2026
Oviedo
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Leganes22 August 2026
- D0-0Granada CF15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Albacete vs Oviedo
- 16 February 2025Oviedo 1–0 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 10 November 2024Albacete 2–2 OviedoSegunda División
- 9 March 2024Albacete 1–2 OviedoSegunda División
- 13 October 2023Oviedo 3–0 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 26 February 2023Oviedo 1–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 15 October 2022Albacete 1–0 OviedoSegunda División
Leading scorers: Albacete and Oviedo
Albacete
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Oviedo
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Domínguez50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oviedo won 1–0 at Albacete. The model had made a win for Oviedo its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: P. Saenz 42' for Oviedo. On expected goals it finished 0.96–1.36.