Girona vs Las Palmas Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Girona 5-2 Las Palmas.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Girona, 22% draw, 15% Las Palmas — fair odds of 1.59, 4.55 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Girona at 63% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Girona vs Las Palmas
Girona
- L1-2away to Cordoba21 August 2026
- D1-1Leganes16 August 2026
Las Palmas
- W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC22 August 2026
- W2-1Albacete16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Girona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Girona vs Las Palmas
- 3 February 2025Girona 2–1 Las PalmasLa Liga
- 26 October 2024Las Palmas 1–0 GironaLa Liga
- 27 April 2024Las Palmas 0–2 GironaLa Liga
- 3 September 2023Girona 1–0 Las PalmasLa Liga
- 12 March 2022Las Palmas 1–3 GironaSegunda División
- 22 August 2021Girona 0–0 Las PalmasSegunda División
Leading scorers: Girona and Las Palmas
Girona
- Y. Asprilla4 goals
Las Palmas
- T. Miyashiro2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.