12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Super League prediction & result

Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Tianjin Teda 1-0 Shenyang Urban.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Tianjin Teda, 23% draw, 18% Shenyang Urban — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Tianjin Teda at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tianjin Teda97%Draw3%Shenyang Urban0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Qiuming Wang
5'
⚽A. Cordobaassist: Xadas
10'
46'
🔁D. Mawlanniyazout: Zang Yifeng
🔁Huang Jiahuiout: Chen Zhexuan
61'
🔁Wang Qiumingout: Ji Shengpan
62'
🔁Sun Ming-Himout: Wu Xinghan
66'
🔁Ba Dunout: Wang Zhenghao
76'
🔁A. Quilesout: Guilherme Schettine
76'
79'
🔁Li Tixiangout: Tian Yinong
79'
🔁Chen Binbinout: Li Haoran
88'
🔁Felipeout: Gao Jiarun
88'
🔁A. Kouameout: Yan Dinghao

Match stats — Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban

31%Possession69%
12Shots14
3On target2
3Corners3
1.17xG1.17

Goals against chances

Tianjin Teda1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth
Shenyang Urban0 from 1.17 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Tianjin Teda 4-4-2
  • 25Yan BingliangG
  • 11Xie WeijunD
  • 18A. CordobaD
  • 6Wang XianjunD
  • 31Sun Ming-HimD
  • 29Ba DunM
  • 30Wang QiumingM
  • 10C. SalvadorM
  • 14Huang JiahuiM
  • 9A. QuilesF
  • 8XadasF
Substitutes
  • 21Qi YuxiG
  • 3Wang ZhenghaoD
  • 38S. LiD
  • 20Ji ShengpanF
  • 17Wu XinghanD
  • 28Guo HaoM
  • 24Chen ZhexuanD
  • 22Li YongjiaM
  • 16Liu ShuaiD
Coach: Genwei Yu
Shenyang Urban 3-4-3
  • 29Zhang YanG
  • 3Pan XimingD
  • 26Yuan MinchengD
  • 15FelipeD
  • 5D. MawlanniyazM
  • 10T. KunimotoM
  • 18Li TixiangM
  • 11Chen BinbinM
  • 7A. KouameF
  • 9G. MbenzaF
  • 47JeffinhoF
Substitutes
  • 21Han RongzeG
  • 28Xu DongD
  • 27Gao JiarunD
  • 33Tian YinongM
  • 36Tian DeaoM
  • 35Li HaoranD
  • 30Pang ShenghanD
  • 34H. ZhangD
  • 8Yan DinghaoM
Coach: Sasa Kolic

Form going into Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban

Tianjin Teda

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Hangzhou Greentown6 September 2026
  • D1-1Qingdao Youth Island29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Wuhan Three Towns22 August 2026
  • L2-4Beijing Guoan15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Shandong Luneng9 August 2026

Shenyang Urban

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5away to Yunnan Yukun6 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Chengdu Better City29 August 2026
  • D4-4Henan Jianye23 August 2026
  • L1-2Sichuan Jiuniu15 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Dalian Zhixing8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Tianjin Teda failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Tianjin Teda scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Tianjin Teda conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Shenyang Urban did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Shenyang Urban conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Shenyang Urban had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Tianjin Teda30118114038+231
13Shenyang Urban3085174258-1629

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban

Tianjin Teda

GoalsAssists

  • Alberto Quiles115

Shenyang Urban

GoalsAssists

  • Jeffinho122
  • G. Mbenza111

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tianjin Teda beat Shenyang Urban 1–0. The model had made a win for Tianjin Teda its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: A. Cordoba 10' for Tianjin Teda. On expected goals it finished 1.17–1.17.

How the call on Tianjin Teda v Shenyang Urban has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 67% / 19% / 14% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 59% / 23% / 18%: the biggest move is Tianjin Teda's chance of winning, down 8 points.

  1. Tianjin Teda win59%▼ −8
  2. Draw23%▲ +4
  3. Shenyang Urban win18%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.