Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Super League prediction & result
Final score: Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Henan Jianye.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Wuhan Three Towns, 25% draw, 21% Henan Jianye — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wuhan Three Towns at 54% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 634 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns
- D2-2Qingdao Youth Island5 September 2026
- W5-1away to Qingdao Jonoon29 August 2026
- D0-0Tianjin Teda22 August 2026
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG14 August 2026
Henan Jianye
- D0-0Chengdu Better City6 September 2026
- D1-1Chongqing Tongliang Long29 August 2026
- D4-4away to Shenyang Urban23 August 2026
- L1-4away to Shanghai Shenhua15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns
- J. Cádiz17 goals6 assists
Henan Jianye
- Gustavo13 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.