Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 Gwangju FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 31% draw, 27% Gwangju FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.23 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
Gwangju FC
- L2-5FC Seoul30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Gangwon FC26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 29 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Go Jae-Hyeon4 goals3 assists
- Lee Kun-Hee3 goals1 assists
Gwangju FC
No player in K League 1's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.