Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce Cup prediction & result
Final score: Tychy 71 4-2 Pogoń Siedlce.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Tychy 71, 29% draw, 32% Pogoń Siedlce — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Tychy 71 at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce
Tychy 71
No earlier matches on record this season.
Pogoń Siedlce
I Liga
- W1-0away to Odra Opole25 October 2026
- L3-4Stal Rzeszów18 October 2026
- L1-3Puszcza Niepołomice15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce
- 12 April 2026Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Tychy 71I Liga
- 27 September 2025Tychy 71 1–3 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
- 7 March 2025Tychy 71 2–0 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
- 21 August 2024Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Tychy 71I Liga
The result against the call
Tychy 71 beat Pogoń Siedlce 4–2. The goals: K. Plichta 5' for Tychy 71, K. Plichta 18' for Tychy 71, M. Rosolek 69' for Pogoń Siedlce, M. Rosolek 90+3' for Pogoń Siedlce, J. Chorosinski 97' for Tychy 71, M. Lewandowski 120' for Tychy 71.
How the call on Tychy 71 v Pogoń Siedlce has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 36% / 30% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Tychy 71's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Tychy 71 win39%▲ +3
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Pogoń Siedlce win32%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.