Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Super League prediction & result
Final score: Tianjin Teda 1-1 Qingdao Youth Island.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Tianjin Teda, 35% draw, 28% Qingdao Youth Island — fair odds of 2.70, 2.86 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Tianjin Teda at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Yan BingliangG
- 29Ba DunD
- 11Xie WeijunD
- 18A. CordobaD
- 4Yang FanD
- 31Sun Ming-HimD
- 30Wang QiumingM
- 14Huang JiahuiM
- 10C. SalvadorM
- 9A. QuilesF
- 8XadasF
- 21Qi YuxiG
- 3Wang ZhenghaoD
- 6Wang XianjunD
- 20Ji ShengpanF
- 17Wu XinghanD
- 28Guo HaoM
- 24Chen ZhexuanD
- 22Li YongjiaM
- 16Liu ShuaiM
- 16H. LiG
- 19Dong YuD
- 5S. MemisevicD
- 2Bruno VianaD
- 22Wang GengruiD
- 28Zhang ChengdongM
- 10N. Da LuzM
- 8X. ZhangM
- 21Meng JingchaoM
- 35Nan SongM
- 11DavidsonF
- 37Dong HangG
- 36Sun JieD
- 32Ding HaifengD
- 15Wang PengD
- 20He LonghaiM
- 4Lohman ElnizarD
- 18B. BraunshtainM
- 31Xie AlexanderM
- 29Jia WeiweiF
Form going into Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Wuhan Three Towns22 August 2026
- L2-4Beijing Guoan15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Shandong Luneng9 August 2026
Qingdao Youth Island
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Shandong Luneng22 August 2026
- D0-0Chongqing Tongliang Long14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Henan Jianye9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 31 |
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
GoalsAssists
- Alberto Quiles115
Qingdao Youth Island
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Tianjin Teda at 37% and given a draw 35%. The goals: Davidson (penalty) 34' for Qingdao Youth Island, Wu Xinghan 81' for Tianjin Teda. On expected goals it finished 1.08–2.17.