Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 FC Botosani.
Before kick-off the model made it 70% Universitatea Craiova, 20% draw, 10% FC Botosani — fair odds of 1.43, 5.00 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Craiova at 70%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani
Line-ups
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 17Carlos MoraM
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 11Nicușor BancuM
- 30David MateiF
- 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
- 10Ștefan BaiaramF
- 7Steven NsimbaF
- 18Mihnea RădulescuM
- 16João LameiraM
- 19Heriberto TavaresD
- 90Răzvan SavaG
- 1Alexandru MaximG
- 28Adrian RusD
- 31Ronaldo WebsterD
- 4Alexandru CrețuM
- 99Ioannis AnestisG
- 2Brian BayeyeD
- 44Rijad SadikuD
- 23Djibril DiawD
- 5Răzvan CrețD
- 67Enriko PapaM
- 3Charles PetroM
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 11Zoran MitrovF
- 41Andrei DumiterF
- 8Roland IdowuF
- 30Alexandru ȚigănașuD
- 10Ştefan BodişteanuM
- 7Sebastian MailatF
- 9Jovan MarkovićF
- 27Ion GurăuG
- 37Mihai BordeianuM
- 14George SorodocM
- 17Teodor AfilipoaieM
- 22Mykola KovtalyukF
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani
Universitatea Craiova
Liga I
- W5-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 October 2026
- W2-0Farul Constanta18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Csikszereda11 October 2026
FC Botosani
Liga I
- L1-3Petrolul Ploiesti23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti16 October 2026
- W2-0Uta Arad10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 10 | +24 | 33 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani
- 24 January 2026Universitatea Craiova 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 31 August 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 22 February 2025FC Botosani 2–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 20 October 2024Universitatea Craiova 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 18 February 2024FC Botosani 2–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 1 October 2023Universitatea Craiova 5–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Craiova and FC Botosani
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor90
- A. Al Hamlawi70
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Universitatea Craiova beat FC Botosani 2–1. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 70%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: D. Matei 21' for Universitatea Craiova, A. Al Hamlawi 27' for Universitatea Craiova, S. Bodisteanu 51' for FC Botosani.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Universitatea Craiova a 62.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 65.1% after a win, 56.0% after a draw, 50.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 65.1%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.
For FC Botosani the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 13.1% going in: 5.2% after a win, 10.6% after a draw, 13.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.8%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 64% / 23% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 70% / 20% / 10%: the biggest move is Universitatea Craiova's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Universitatea Craiova win70%▲ +6
- Draw20%▼ −3
- FC Botosani win10%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.