FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FC Voluntari 1-2 Farul Constanta.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% FC Voluntari, 26% draw, 41% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 3.03, 3.85 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Farul Constanta at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta
Line-ups
- 31Metod JurharG
- 23Matej MamićD
- 5Denis HaruțD
- 6Sava Arangel ČestićD
- 4Daniel DumbrăvanuD
- 30Alexandru ȘuteuD
- 10Cristian MerloiM
- 80Godfried RoemeratoeM
- 44Mihael OnișaM
- 11Remus GuțeaM
- 7Mihai Roman IIF
- 29Adrian Chică-RoșăF
- 22Nuno RodriguesM
- 99Ianis VencuM
- 8Ion GheorgheM
- 19Marvin SchiebD
- 12Bogdan ȘtefanG
- 14Eduard ChioveanuG
- 25David KikiD
- 27Radu CrişanD
- 12Rafael MunteanuG
- 24Sofyane BouzamouchaD
- 6Victor DicanD
- 21Lucas PellegriniD
- 8Ionuț VînăM
- 23Tony NjikéM
- 70Matteo AhlinviM
- 11Cristian GaneaM
- 30Narek GrigoryanF
- 7Denis AlibecF
- 20Eduard RadaslavescuF
- 4Gustavo MarinsD
- 3Valentin ȚicuD
- 80Nicolas PopescuM
- 71Răzvan TănasăM
- 27Hassane TraoréD
- 1Alexandru BuzbuchiG
- 33João FerreiraD
- 2David MafteiD
- 17Ionuț LarieD
Form going into FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari
Liga I
- L1-2away to Csikszereda24 October 2026
- L1-2FCSB19 October 2026
- L2-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara9 October 2026
Farul Constanta
Liga I
- W4-3Oțelul25 October 2026
- L0-2away to Universitatea Craiova18 October 2026
- W3-1Petrolul Ploiesti11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 8 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta
- 11 July 2026FC Voluntari 3–0 Farul ConstantaFriendlies Clubs
- 25 November 2023FC Voluntari 4–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 26 September 2023FC Voluntari 2–0 Farul ConstantaCupa României
- 22 July 2023Farul Constanta 4–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 16 December 2022FC Voluntari 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 22 August 2022Farul Constanta 2–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari
GoalsAssists
- R. Guțea60
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- M. Ahlinvi71
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Farul Constanta won 2–1 at FC Voluntari. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Farul Constanta at 41%. The goals: D. Alibec 16' for Farul Constanta, M. Ahlinvi 24' for Farul Constanta, S. Cestic 66' for FC Voluntari.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Voluntari a 81.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 74.4% after a win, 83.3% after a draw, 85.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 85.9%, 4.9 points higher than before the match.
For Farul Constanta the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 34.1% going in: 41.1% after a win, 30.6% after a draw, 26.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.1%, 7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on FC Voluntari v Farul Constanta has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 35% / 26% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 33% / 26% / 41%: the biggest move is FC Voluntari's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- FC Voluntari win33%▼ −2
- Draw26%=
- Farul Constanta win41%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.