1 November 2026, 18:30 UTC

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest
Referee: Marcel Birsan, Romania
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Dinamo Bucuresti 2-0 Uta Arad.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Dinamo Bucuresti, 25% draw, 17% Uta Arad — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Bucuresti99%Draw1%Uta Arad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
M. Coman
⚽D. Armstrongassist: A. Soro
44'
58'
🔁M. Comanout: M. Tzionis
⚽D. Pintoassist: A. Soro
67'
🔁D. Pintoout: M. Karamoko
72'
R. Oprut
74'
75'
🔁O. El Sawyout: D. Taroi
76'
🔁S. Minoout: A. Ivanov
M. Pascual
78'
🔁D. Irimiaout: D. Benavides
84'
🔁D. Armstrongout: I. Tarba
84'
85'
🔁D. Alomerovicout: R. Badescu
88'
R. Badescu
🔁D. Zandbergenout: O. Hintsa
88'
🔁C. Cirjanout: A. Musi
88'
89'
J. Papeau

Match stats — Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad

58%Possession42%
17Shots13
4On target4
7Corners2

Line-ups

Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2
  • 36Alaa BellaarouchG
  • 20David IrimiaD
  • 44Martín PascualD
  • 15Nikita StoinovD
  • 31Raul OpruțD
  • 77Danny ArmstrongM
  • 29Alberto SoroM
  • 6Matthias VerrethM
  • 8Diogo PintoM
  • 97Dean ZandbergenF
  • 10Cătălin CîrjanF
Substitutes
  • 9Mamoudou KaramokoF
  • 22Darío BenavidesD
  • 23Ianis TarbăF
  • 7Alexandru MusiM
  • 18Oliver HintsaF
  • 73Alexandru RoșcaG
  • 19Răzvan RaduD
  • 66Ștefan OprișM
  • 30Matteo DuțuD
Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
  • 1Márcio RosaG
  • 15Peter OuanehD
  • 4Alexandru BengaD
  • 60Dmytro PospelovD
  • 3Din AlomerovicD
  • 5Sota MinoM
  • 8Roman AlinM
  • 42Omar El SawyM
  • 77Jayson PapeauM
  • 11Hakim AbdallahM
  • 9Marius ComanF
Substitutes
  • 10Marinos TzionisF
  • 20Denis ȚăroiM
  • 6Antoni IvanovM
  • 22Robert BădescuD
  • 33Andrei GorceaG
  • 17Roland SabauD
  • 7Ismet SinaniF

Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad

Dinamo Bucuresti

Liga I

  • D2-2away to CFR 1907 Cluj25 October 2026
  • W2-0FC Botosani16 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe9 October 2026

Uta Arad

Liga I

  • W1-0away to Arges Pitesti24 October 2026
  • W1-0CFR 1907 Cluj18 October 2026
  • L0-2away to FC Botosani10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Dinamo Bucuresti1510323211+2133
10Uta Arad155371620-418

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad

  • 20 December 2025Uta Arad 2–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 15 August 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Uta AradLiga I
  • 10 March 2025Uta Arad 0–2 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 2 November 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 12 May 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 8 March 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 Uta AradLiga I

Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad

Dinamo Bucuresti

GoalsAssists

  • D. Armstrong610
  • Martín Pascual50
  • Alberto Soro44

Uta Arad

GoalsAssists

  • M. Coman50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Bucuresti beat Uta Arad 2–0. The model had made a win for Dinamo Bucuresti its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: D. Armstrong 44' for Dinamo Bucuresti, D. Pinto 67' for Dinamo Bucuresti.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Bucuresti a 30.0% chance to finish top of the regular season: 33.3% after a win, 25.6% after a draw, 20.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.3%, 3.3 points higher than before the match.

For Uta Arad the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 29.9% going in: 43.3% after a win, 31.7% after a draw, 26.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.2%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dinamo Bucuresti v Uta Arad has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 61% / 24% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 58% / 25% / 17%: the biggest move is Dinamo Bucuresti's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Dinamo Bucuresti win58%▼ −3
  2. Draw25%▲ +1
  3. Uta Arad win17%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.