US Biskra vs MC Alger Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: US Biskra 0-1 MC Alger.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% US Biskra, 26% draw, 55% MC Alger — fair odds of 5.26, 3.85 and 1.82.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
MC Alger at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1I. Benchlef
- 4A. Oukkal
- 8K. Neche
- 10C. Debbih
- 11M. I. Belhadj
- 13O. Darfalou
- 14Y. Saindou
- 17K. Bouhakak
- 22I. Bekakchi
- 23A. Benamara
- 29A. Ghorab
- 3E. Zaddy
- 5M. Barka
- 9M. Belkhadem
- 16R. Maachou
- 20R. Dahmani
- 24M. Hammia
- 26O. A. Ammar
- 27K. Belmiloud
- 28A. Zeke Omwele
- 3M. Khelif
- 10A. Azaizeh
- 16Y. Gourari Tebaa
- 18M. Bangoura
- 19A. Ghezala
- 20M. Halaimia
- 21M. Abdelkader
- 22S. Konate
- 23M. Mehdaoui
- 27A. Menezla
- 28O. Benhaoua
- 2Y. Gassi
- 4A. Satta
- 11M. Nduwumwe
- 12M. Zougrana
- 14B. A. Kohili
- 15M. Boucherit
- 25A. Bouguerra
- 30M. Hammache
- 32D. Mahdid
Form going into US Biskra vs MC Alger
US Biskra
Ligue 1
- L1-4away to JS Kabylie18 October 2026
- L0-1MC Oran13 October 2026
MC Alger
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to ASO Chlef13 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | US Biskra | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
| 3 | MC Alger | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: US Biskra vs MC Alger
- 19 April 2025US Biskra 0–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 9 November 2024MC Alger 0–0 US BiskraLigue 1
- 11 June 2024US Biskra 1–0 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 19 January 2024MC Alger 1–0 US BiskraLigue 1
- 19 February 2023US Biskra 0–0 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 3 September 2022MC Alger 0–0 US BiskraLigue 1
The result against the call
MC Alger won 1–0 at US Biskra. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for MC Alger at 55%. The goal: S. Konate 57' for MC Alger.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave US Biskra a 87.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 83.5% after a win, 86.6% after a draw, 89.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 89.0%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.
For MC Alger the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 36.3% going in: 40.0% after a win, 30.8% after a draw, 29.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.0%, 3.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on US Biskra v MC Alger has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 30% / 31% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 19% / 26% / 55%: the biggest move is MC Alger's chance of winning, up 16 points.
- US Biskra win19%▼ −11
- Draw26%▼ −5
- MC Alger win55%▲ +16
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.