US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: US Monastirienne 1-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% US Monastirienne, 29% draw, 32% Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
US Monastirienne at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 24A. Slimane
- 2M. Ghorbel
- 3Y. Herch
- 19R. Boukadida
- 8M. Mehri
- 13R. Azzouz
- 20S. Barhoumi
- 23C. El Djebali
- 30M. Slama
- 15B. Yacoub
- 29I. Gadiaga
- 1R. Besbes
- 4B. Nouicer
- 12A. Bouzganda
- 21R. Jerbi
- 31A. Boulila
- 33B. Randriamalala
- 10Y. Amri
- 14S. Bouali
- 27M. Boussadia
- 44A. Chouaya
- 2A. Ba
- 5B. I. Bationo
- 22M. Laajili
- 34H. Rebaii
- 4C. Ouni
- 7H. Ben Ameur
- 25F. Ajroudi
- 3B. Mouelhi
- 9M. Omri
- 28N. Atoui
- 33Y. Touj
- 21W. Attig
- 26A. Azzaza
- 29H. Sallami
- 10L. Bouraoui
- 11H. Montassar
- 35P. Diop
- 13F. Derguech
- 18A. Jouadi
Form going into US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
US Monastirienne
Ligue 1
- D0-0away to CA Bizertin10 October 2026
- W2-1away to ES Zarzis16 September 2026
- D3-3US Ben Guerdane12 September 2026
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Ligue 1
- W1-0CS Sfaxien10 October 2026
- D1-1away to Olympique Béja13 September 2026
- W1-0CS Hammam-Lif5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
US Monastirienne beat Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for US Monastirienne at 39%. The goal: C. El Djebali 63' for US Monastirienne.
How the call on US Monastirienne v Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is US Monastirienne's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- US Monastirienne win39%▼ −2
- Draw29%=
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win32%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.