24 October 2026, 16:45 UTC

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time2 – 2

Final score: USM Alger 2-2 CR Belouizdad.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% USM Alger, 28% draw, 36% CR Belouizdad — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

USM Alger at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

USM Alger3%Draw92%CR Belouizdad5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽M. Ben Hammouda (pen)
⚽Z. Draoui (pen)assist: Z. Draoui
26'
28'
⚽M. Ben Hammouda
29'
M. Ben Hammouda
39'
🔁M. Ben Hammoudaout: F. Etouga
⚽M. Ramdaoui (pen)
45+10'
🔁G. Likonzaout: F. Boulaya
46'
🔁Z. Draouiout: D. Bensaadallah
46'
🔁H. Loucifout: D. Bensaadallah
46'
54'
S. Bouchar
56'
Y. Laouafi
⚽S. Radouani
57'
R. Mahrouz
61'
72'
🔁F. El Melaliout: J. Ngandziami
72'
🔁K. Boualiaout: L. Boussouar
A. Abada
79'
🔁A. Benguitout: A. Tendeng
82'
🔁M. Bouderbalaout: C. Malone Junior
82'
83'
H. Benayada
84'
86'
🔁D. Kaassisout: M. Y. Chelfaoui

Line-ups

USM Alger
Coach: Lamine N'Diyae

Form going into USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

USM Alger

Ligue 1

  • W1-0JS Saoura13 October 2026
  • L0-1away to MB Rouisset8 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Olympique Akbou19 September 2026

CR Belouizdad

Ligue 1

  • W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
  • W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6USM Alger7421105+514
1CR Belouizdad8620137+620

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

  • 2 June 2026USM Alger 1–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
  • 30 April 2026USM Alger 2–1 CR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale
  • 8 November 2025CR Belouizdad 0–0 USM AlgerLigue 1
  • 5 July 2025USM Alger 2–0 CR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale
  • 16 March 2025CR Belouizdad 1–1 USM AlgerLigue 1
  • 18 October 2024USM Alger 0–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1

The result against the call

USM Alger and CR Belouizdad drew 2–2. The goals: M. Ben Hammouda (penalty) 8' for CR Belouizdad, M. Ben Hammouda 28' for CR Belouizdad, M. Ramdaoui (penalty) 45+10' for USM Alger, S. Radouani 57' for USM Alger. Sent off: A. Abada (USM Alger) 79'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave USM Alger a 16.0% chance to finish in the top two: 20.8% after a win, 14.3% after a draw, 11.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 14.3%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.

For CR Belouizdad the question was the chance to win the league, 41.4% going in: 49.4% after a win, 40.8% after a draw, 34.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 40.8%, 0.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.