24 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk Premier League prediction & result

Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FC Gomel 1-2 Dinamo Minsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% FC Gomel, 28% draw, 40% Dinamo Minsk — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Minsk at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Gomel0%Draw3%Dinamo Minsk97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Igor Zayats
11'
14'
Roman Begunov
⚽Vladislav Lazarevassist: Timofey Simanenka
21'
23'
🔁Gleb Gurbanout: Maksim Shvetsov
26'
⚽Artem Sokolovskiyassist: Maksim Shvetsov
29'
Fawaz·Abdullahi
45'
🔁Leonard Chatelin·Gwethout: Vladislav Poloz
Damir·Shaikhtdinov
56'
63'
🔁Artem Sokolovskiyout: Moustapha Djimet
64'
⚽Fawaz·Abdullahiassist: Vladislav Poloz
🔁Denis·Kovalevichout: Raymond Adeola
76'
82'
🔁Evgeni Malashevichout: Gulzhigit Alykulov
83'
🔁Aleksey Vakulichout: Aleksey Ivanov
86'
Moustapha Djimet
🔁Vadim Martinkevichout: Maksim Mardas
86'
🔁Damir·Shaikhtdinovout: Pavel·Pashevich
86'

Match stats — FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk

44%Possession56%
3Shots11
1On target3
1Corners4

Line-ups

FC Gomel 4-4-2
  • 44S. KleshchukG
  • 16I. ZayatsD
  • 90G. KukushkinD
  • 43D. ShaykhtdinovD
  • 17V. MartinkevichD
  • 33V. SotnikovM
  • 19D. SilinskiyM
  • 77V. LazarevM
  • 23K. DanilinM
  • 11T. SimanenkaF
  • 21D. KovalevichF
Substitutes
  • 88A. RyzhchenkoG
  • 3S. MatveychikD
  • 14P. PashevichD
  • 7R. AdeolaM
  • 8E. BarsukovM
  • 9K. LeonovichM
  • 13M. MardasF
  • 66Roman ShapovalovF
  • 5H. PrataseniaM
Coach: A. Gorovtsov
Dinamo Minsk 4-3-3
  • 47A. KudravetsG
  • 44G. GurbanD
  • 67R. BegunovD
  • 26V. KalininD
  • 24A. VakulichD
  • 8A. SelyavaM
  • 78A. SokolovskiyM
  • 42F. AbdullahiM
  • 10K. VardanyanF
  • 80L. GwethF
  • 7E. MalashevichF
Substitutes
  • 11G. AlykulovM
  • 13V. PolozM
  • 23A. ZhechkoM
  • 17I. BakharF
  • 30M. DjimetF
  • 5D. DushevskiyM
  • 12A. IvanovD
  • 3M. ShvetsovD
  • 1I. ShimakovichG
Coach: A. Shagoyko

Form going into FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk

FC Gomel

Premier League

  • D2-2away to Dinamo Brest17 October 2026
  • L1-5ML Vitebsk11 October 2026

Dinamo Minsk

Premier League

  • W2-0Arsenal Dzerzhinsk19 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FC Gomel2812794029+1143
3Dinamo Minsk2819455123+2861

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk

  • 13 June 2026Dinamo Minsk 2–1 FC GomelPremier League
  • 18 October 2025Dinamo Minsk 0–0 FC GomelPremier League
  • 25 May 2025FC Gomel 0–1 Dinamo MinskPremier League
  • 12 September 2024Dinamo Minsk 2–0 FC GomelPremier League
  • 13 April 2024FC Gomel 0–1 Dinamo MinskPremier League
  • 17 February 2024Dinamo Minsk 1–0 FC GomelFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: FC Gomel and Dinamo Minsk

FC Gomel

GoalsAssists

  • V. Sotnikov22

Dinamo Minsk

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 51 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Minsk won 2–1 at FC Gomel. The model had made a win for Dinamo Minsk its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Vladislav Lazarev 21' for FC Gomel, Artem Sokolovskiy 26' for Dinamo Minsk, Fawaz·Abdullahi 64' for Dinamo Minsk. Sent off: Igor Zayats (FC Gomel) 11'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Gomel a 8.7% chance to finish in the top four: 16.1% after a win, 6.1% after a draw, 3.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.1%, 5.6 points lower than before the match.

For Dinamo Minsk the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 27.5% going in: 39.9% after a win, 22.8% after a draw, 14.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.9%, 12.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Gomel v Dinamo Minsk has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 35% / 30% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 32% / 28% / 40%: the biggest move is Dinamo Minsk's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. FC Gomel win32%▼ −3
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Dinamo Minsk win40%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.