9 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest Premier League prediction & result

Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Arsenal 0-1 Dinamo Brest.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Arsenal, 25% draw, 45% Dinamo Brest — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Brest at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arsenal0%Draw4%Dinamo Brest96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Maksim·Kovel
15'
Dmitri Lutik
26'
⚽Roman Yuzepchukassist: Aleksey Butarevich
45'
🔁Roman Yuzepchukout: Egor Khralenkov
63'
🔁Roman Ermolinout: Ilya Vasin
63'
🔁Dzambolat·Tsallagovout: ivan oreshkevich
64'
🔁D. Kovalevichout: Dusan Bakic
67'
Nikita Stepanov
77'
🔁Maksim·Matveevout: Egor Bozhko
77'
🔁Daniel Volskiyout: Sergey Sazonchik
81'
🔁Egor Kortsovout: Lozhkin Vladzislau
89'
🔁Vladislav Vasilyevout: Denis Polyakov
89'
🔁Denis Levitskiyout: Vladislav Lyakh
89'
🔁Denis Grechikhoout: Nikita Burak
90+1'
Aleksey Butarevich

Match stats — Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest

0%Possession40%
0Shots0
0On target0
0Corners2

Line-ups

Dinamo Brest 3-5-2
  • 35I. MalashchitskiyG
  • 5M. KovelD
  • 18N. StepanovD
  • 36Guilherme GuedesD
  • 77R. YuzepchukM
  • 99I. ZenkovM
  • 19D. GrechikhoM
  • 44A. ButarevichM
  • 11D. LevitskiyM
  • 88D. KovalevichF
  • 24E. KortsovF
Substitutes
  • 7D. BakićF
  • 42N. BurakM
  • 6E. KhralenkovD
  • 25V. LozhkinF
  • 23V. LyakhD
  • 21A. NechaevG
  • 4Ž. PopovićM
  • 2A. RylachD
Coach: A. Sednev

Form going into Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest

Arsenal

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Brighton19 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Sunderland12 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Napoli9 September 2026
  • W2-1Chelsea6 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Aston Villa31 August 2026

Dinamo Brest

No earlier matches on record this season.

What these results say

  • Arsenal won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Arsenal scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest

  • 23 May 2026Dinamo Brest 3–0 Arsenal DzerzhinskPremier League
  • 2 August 2025Dinamo Brest 1–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskPremier League
  • 16 March 2025Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
  • 7 February 2025Dinamo Brest 3–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 September 2024Dinamo Brest 2–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskPremier League
  • 28 July 2024Dinamo Brest 4–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskCoppa

The result against the call

Dinamo Brest won 1–0 at Arsenal. The model had made a win for Dinamo Brest its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Roman Yuzepchuk 26' for Dinamo Brest.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Brest a 51.2% chance to finish in the top four: 62.0% after a win, 45.8% after a draw, 36.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 62.0%, 10.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.