9 October 2026, 13:15 UTC

Chadormalu SC vs Kheybar Khorramabad Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Nassiri Stadium, Yazd
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Chadormalu SC 2-2 Kheybar Khorramabad.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Chadormalu SC, 25% draw, 29% Kheybar Khorramabad — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chadormalu SC at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chadormalu SC0%Draw6%Kheybar Khorramabad94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
⚽A. Farsi
41'
H. Hajiaghaei
🔁P. Lashakout: A. Anafjeh
56'
56'
🔁H. Hajiaghaeiout: A. Maleki
🔁A. Safari Laksarout: M. Tabatabaei
60'
S. Sadeghian
66'
⚽D. Torresassist: A. Anafjeh
67'
73'
⚽A. Teymouri
75'
🔁A. M. Khanzadiout: M. Ghanbari
75'
🔁F. Yousefiout: M. Amiri
🔁R. Mirzaeiout: M. Asadi
77'
🔁S. Mohammadfarout: A. Kalbasi
84'
84'
⚽D. Torres (pen)
90+3'

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Chadormalu SC124531215-317
10Kheybar Khorramabad123541415-114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chadormalu SC vs Kheybar Khorramabad

  • 27 February 2026Kheybar Khorramabad 0–2 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 24 October 2025Chadormalu SC 2–1 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 13 March 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 2–0 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 17 October 2024Chadormalu SC 1–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 5 March 2024Kheybar Khorramabad 2–1 Chadormalu SCAzadegan League

The result against the call

Chadormalu SC and Kheybar Khorramabad drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Chadormalu SC at 46% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Farsi 35' for Kheybar Khorramabad, D. Torres 67' for Chadormalu SC, A. Teymouri 73' for Kheybar Khorramabad, D. Torres (penalty) 90+3' for Chadormalu SC.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Chadormalu SC a 4.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: under 1% after a win, 4.5% after a draw, 11.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 4.5%.

For Kheybar Khorramabad the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 14.0% going in: 3.4% after a win, 12.3% after a draw, 19.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 12.3%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Chadormalu SC v Kheybar Khorramabad has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 46% / 25% / 29%: the biggest move is Chadormalu SC's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Chadormalu SC win46%▲ +4
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Kheybar Khorramabad win29%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.