VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: VfL Osnabrück 1-3 Hertha BSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% VfL Osnabrück, 29% draw, 30% Hertha BSC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
VfL Osnabrück at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
Line-ups
- 32J. KrumreyG
- 27R. FabinskiD
- 24J. MüllerD
- 25N. WiemannD
- 31P. KammerbauerM
- 26F. WagnerM
- 15B. JacobsenM
- 42J. GómezM
- 21A. BeckM
- 8L. MünstM
- 11R. MeißnerF
- 1N. SauterG
- 22B. RiesselmannF
- 17L. RaimundF
- 19L. OpitzM
- 23T. LesueurF
- 7D. KyerehM
- 20T. JanottaD
- 28K. FaberD
- 4J. Abu HannaD
- 35M. GersbeckG
- 2J. EitschbergerD
- 44L. GechterD
- 27N. KolbeD
- 22M. PedersenD
- 41P. KlemensM
- 8K. SessaM
- 23J. ÞorsteinssonM
- 19O. AdewumiM
- 7J. BrekaloM
- 17S. GrønningF
- 47Selim TelibM
- 42D. ZeefuikD
- 20Farid Alfa-RuprechtF
- 31M. DárdaiD
- 29J. DialloD
- 43T. GollerG
- 33S. GouramM
- 9G. NilssonF
- 18L. SchulerF
Form going into VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
VfL Osnabrück
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Eintracht Braunschweig6 September 2026
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum28 August 2026
- L0-31. FC Magdeburg15 August 2026
- L3-4away to 1. FC Heidenheim8 August 2026
Hertha BSC
All competitions we cover
- W2-11. FC Magdeburg6 September 2026
- W5-3away to Eintracht Braunschweig28 August 2026
- W4-11. FC Heidenheim15 August 2026
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum7 August 2026
What these results say
- VfL Osnabrück scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- VfL Osnabrück conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for VfL Osnabrück had three goals or more.
- Hertha BSC won every one of these 4 matches.
- Hertha BSC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hertha BSC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
- 19 May 2024VfL Osnabrück 2–1 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
- 16 December 2023Hertha Berlin 0–0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC
VfL Osnabrück
GoalsAssists
- R. Meißner41
Hertha BSC
GoalsAssists
- J. Brekalo55
- O. Adewumi50
- S. Grønning41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hertha BSC won 3–1 at VfL Osnabrück. The model had leaned towards a win for VfL Osnabrück at 41% and given a win for Hertha BSC 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Josip Brekalo 50' for Hertha BSC, Kevin Sessa 70' for Hertha BSC, Jonathan Gómez 82' for VfL Osnabrück, Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 90+2' for Hertha BSC.