1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% 1. FC Magdeburg, 29% draw, 32% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
1. FC Magdeburg at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1D. ReimannG
- 7H. BockhornD
- 15D. HeberD
- 3A. Garcia MacNultyD
- 17A. NollenbergerD
- 38L. HyrylainenM
- 10M. KwartengM
- 21F. MichelM
- 8E. IyohaF
- 22M. ZukowskiF
- 23B. AtikF
- 30N. KruthG
- 6P. JaeckelD
- 28P. NadjombeD
- 11F. ChavezM
- 33L. MergnerM
- 26T. MuselM
- 9R. SimicF
- 29R. TachieF
- 35M. BaarsF
- 1J. KrahlG
- 33J. ElvediD
- 4M. GyamfiD
- 14J. RasmussenD
- 2S. AstaM
- 6F. KunzeM
- 8S. SahinM
- 3A. MurphyM
- 39T. TazemetaF
- 7M. RitterF
- 17E. YardimciF
- 40E. KamgaG
- 22M. HaasD
- 26P. JolyD
- 5K. FreesD
- 21M. SauerM
- 37L. RobinsonM
- 41D. SchrammM
- 20M. BerishaF
- 11I. KanateF
Form going into 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Magdeburg
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Hertha BSC6 September 2026
- W2-0Holstein Kiel30 August 2026
- W3-0away to VfL Osnabrück15 August 2026
- L1-6Eintracht Braunschweig8 August 2026
1. FC Kaiserslautern
All competitions we cover
- W3-0SV Darmstadt 985 September 2026
- W2-1away to FC St. Pauli30 August 2026
- D0-0Karlsruher SC15 August 2026
- D0-0away to VfL Wolfsburg8 August 2026
What these results say
- 1. FC Magdeburg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for 1. FC Magdeburg had three goals or more.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 17 May 20261. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 20 December 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 2–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 6 April 20251. FC Magdeburg 2–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 3 November 20241. FC Kaiserslautern 2–2 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 4 May 2024FC Kaiserslautern 4–1 FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 2 December 2023FC Magdeburg 4–1 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: 1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Magdeburg
GoalsAssists
- E. Iyoha60
- M. Żukowski60
1. FC Kaiserslautern
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
1. FC Magdeburg beat 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0. The model had made a win for 1. FC Magdeburg its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. Iyoha 12' for 1. FC Magdeburg, A. Nollenberger 16' for 1. FC Magdeburg, E. Iyoha 53' for 1. FC Magdeburg. On expected goals it finished 1.12–1.08.