FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC St. Pauli, 29% draw, 32% VfL Wolfsburg — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC St. Pauli at 39% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
- D2-2away to Arminia Bielefeld4 September 2026
- L1-21. FC Kaiserslautern30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Holstein Kiel14 August 2026
- D1-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth9 August 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
- D4-4Energie Cottbus5 September 2026
- W5-2away to Karlsruher SC29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Hannover 9616 August 2026
- D0-01. FC Kaiserslautern8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
- 16 May 2026FC St. Pauli 1–3 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
- 14 January 2026VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. PauliBundesliga
- 8 March 2025VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. PauliBundesliga
- 26 October 2024FC St. Pauli 0–0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
- 16 April 2011VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 FC St. PauliBundesliga
- 21 November 2010FC St. Pauli 1–1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Leading scorers: FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
- T. Hara2 goals1 assists
VfL Wolfsburg
- F. Reese3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.