1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% 1. FC Heidenheim, 26% draw, 21% Holstein Kiel — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
1. FC Heidenheim at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
Line-ups
- 33T. DähneG
- 2M. BuschD
- 6P. MainkaD
- 19J. FöhrenbachD
- 27M. HeuleD
- 22O. MhamdiM
- 16J. NiehuesM
- 3J. SchöppnerM
- 24M. CostlyM
- 18A. VogtF
- 17M. HonsakF
- 38Y. WagnerF
- 41M. ZrilicM
- 10C. ContehF
- 1Frank FellerG
- 8P. HennrichM
- 29M. KaufmannF
- 20L. KerberM
- 23L. PaqaradaD
- 4T. SierslebenD
- 1T. WeinerG
- 32H. SekineD
- 13I. NekićD
- 26D. ZecD
- 40Leon ParduziD
- 28J. MeffertM
- 20A. KaprálikM
- 8G. BalziM
- 27I. UgohM
- 10J. TherkelsenM
- 19P. HarresF
- 5N. MadsenD
- 44Mark Richter MonserratM
- 41Lio RothenhagenG
- 7S. SkrzybskiF
- 3Niko Takahashi CendagortaD
- 30T. TasdelenM
- 47J. TolkinD
- 43T. WieseM
- 11G. de RegtF
Form going into 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
1. FC Heidenheim
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth6 September 2026
- W5-3Dynamo Dresden29 August 2026
- L1-4away to Hertha BSC15 August 2026
- W4-3VfL Osnabrück8 August 2026
Holstein Kiel
All competitions we cover
- D2-21. FC Nürnberg5 September 2026
- L0-2away to 1. FC Magdeburg30 August 2026
- D2-2FC St. Pauli14 August 2026
- D2-2away to SV Darmstadt 988 August 2026
What these results say
- 1. FC Heidenheim scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Heidenheim won 3 of these 4 matches.
- 1. FC Heidenheim conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Holstein Kiel did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Holstein Kiel conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Holstein Kiel scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
- 16 March 20251. FC Heidenheim 3–1 Holstein KielBundesliga
- 2 November 2024Holstein Kiel 1–0 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
- 23 April 2023FC Heidenheim 3–0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- 16 October 2022Holstein Kiel 3–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
- 23 April 2022Holstein Kiel 1–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: 1. FC Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel
1. FC Heidenheim
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Holstein Kiel
GoalsAssists
- P. Harres53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
1. FC Heidenheim beat Holstein Kiel 1–0. The model had made a win for 1. FC Heidenheim its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Jonas Föhrenbach 83' for 1. FC Heidenheim. Sent off: Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen (Holstein Kiel) 50'.