13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
Full time0 3

Final score: Karlsruher SC 0-3 Energie Cottbus.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Karlsruher SC, 27% draw, 30% Energie Cottbus — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Karlsruher SC at 43% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Karlsruher SC0%Draw1%Energie Cottbus99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Lucas Copado
15'
Leonardo Bittencourt
18'
Leonardo Bittencourt
45+2'
Lukas Michelbrinkassist: Lucas Copado
45'
🔁Leonardo Bittencourtout: Dominik Pelivan
🔁Noel Eichingerout: Lilian Egloff
45'
55'
Dominik Pelivanassist: Tolcay Cigerci
61'
🔁Jannis Boziarisout: Moritz Hannemann
62'
Justin Butler
🔁Tim Civejaout: Jason Ponente-Ramirez
63'
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
65'
🔁Louey Ben Farhatout: John Davis Meyer
67'
73'
🔁Justin Butlerout: Dmytro Bogdanov
73'
🔁Lucas Copadoout: Christian Kinsombi
🔁Christoph Kobaldout: Sandro Tremoulet
81'
🔁Danyal Hakan Zorout: Santeri Väänänen
81'
85'
🔁Tolcay Cigerciout: fousseny doumbia

Match stats — Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus

57%Possession43%
19Shots25
5On target10
5Corners8

Line-ups

Karlsruher SC 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. BernatG
  • 36Rafael Pinto PedrosaD
  • 28M. FrankeD
  • 22C. KobaldD
  • 3D. OfliD
  • 23T. CivejaM
  • 26D. H. ZorM
  • 19Louey Ben FarhatM
  • 10M. WanitzekM
  • 11N. EichingerM
  • 13S. FukudaF
Substitutes
  • 33V. BerghD
  • 25L. EgloffM
  • 30R. HimmelmannG
  • 17E. LaghrissiF
  • 15Paul SchollD
  • 24S. TrémouletD
  • 6S. VäänänenM
  • 37J. PonenteF
  • 27J. D. MeyerF
Coach: M. Senft
Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. LotkaG
  • 3H. RorigD
  • 2K. ManuD
  • 21Luca ErleinD
  • 20A. BorgmannD
  • 8Lukas MichelbrinkM
  • 32L. BittencourtM
  • 10T. CiğerciM
  • 19J. BoziarisM
  • 9L. CopadoM
  • 31J. ButlerF
Substitutes
  • 4T. CampulkaD
  • 23Fousseny DoumbiaD
  • 11M. HannemannF
  • 6J. HofmannM
  • 7C. KinsombiM
  • 16R. MaloneD
  • 5D. PelivanM
  • 13Dmytro BohdanovF
  • 29K. KratzschG
Coach: C. Wollitz

Form going into Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus

Karlsruher SC

  • D2-2away to Hannover 964 September 2026
  • L2-5VfL Wolfsburg29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern15 August 2026
  • W2-1Arminia Bielefeld8 August 2026

Energie Cottbus

  • D4-4away to VfL Wolfsburg5 September 2026
  • L3-4SpVgg Greuther Fürth29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Arminia Bielefeld16 August 2026
  • W3-1Hannover 969 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Karlsruher SC5122611-55
7Energie Cottbus52121312+17

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus

  • 13 September 2026Karlsruher SC 0–3 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
  • 17 March 2019Energie Cottbus 0–2 Karlsruher SC3. Liga
  • 29 September 2018Karlsruher SC 2–0 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
  • 15 March 2014Energie Cottbus 1–0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
  • 20 September 2013Karlsruher SC 2–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
  • 17 February 2012Karlsruher SC 2–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Karlsruher SC and Energie Cottbus

Karlsruher SC

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Energie Cottbus

  • T. Ciğerci4 goals1 assists
  • J. Butler2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.