4 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

VVV Venlo vs Roda Eerste Divisie prediction & result

Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo
Referee: Wouter Wiersma
Full time2 – 0

Final score: VVV Venlo 2-0 Roda.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% VVV Venlo, 32% draw, 29% Roda — fair odds of 2.56, 3.13 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

VVV Venlo at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

VVV Venlo97%Draw3%Roda0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Philip Heise
21'
43'
Dyon Dorenbosch
⚽L. Schmidtassist: Raf Vullers
53'
56'
Marco Tol
60'
🔁Cain Seedorfout: Joey Sleegers
61'
🔁Koen Jansenout: Rayan Khoums
61'
🔁Dyon Dorenboschout: Mitchel Paulissen
🔁Tristan Schenkhuizenout: Ismail Oulad M'Hand
61'
69'
🔁X. van den Bergout: Fynn Schenten
Edhy Zuliani
71'
🔁L. Schmidtout: Mattheos Tsigkas
72'
🔁Edhy Zulianiout: Amir rais
72'
79'
🔁Dario Van Den Buijsout: Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
🔁Philip Heiseout: Michael Davis
82'
🔁Andreas Verstraetenout: Yousri El Anbri
82'
83'
Joshua Nisbet
Yousri El Anbri
87'
⚽Amir raisassist: Ismail Oulad M'Hand
90+1'
90+4'
Mitchel Paulissen

Match stats — VVV Venlo vs Roda

52%Possession48%
15Shots7
7On target3
6Corners3

Line-ups

VVV Venlo 3-4-2-1
  • 13Y. SchoonderwaldtG
  • 4É. ClancyD
  • 33G. BlancquartD
  • 6A. VerstraetenD
  • 14Raf VullersM
  • 24M. OdrissM
  • 38Tristan SchenkhuizenM
  • 16P. HeiseM
  • 7E. ZulianiM
  • 11N. Ait MouhouM
  • 17L. SchmidtF
Substitutes
  • 43D. HendrixF
  • 22Zidane TaylanG
  • 9M. TsigkasF
  • 34A. RaisF
  • 8Ismail Oulad M'HandM
  • 21L. GörlichD
  • 15Tijn JoostenD
  • 19Thomas JanssenF
  • 1T. DoornbuschG
Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen
Roda 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. TreichelG
  • 3M. TolD
  • 33D. Van den BuijsD
  • 15L. BeertenD
  • 14X. van den BergM
  • 11D. DorenboschM
  • 4J. NisbetM
  • 5K. JansenM
  • 7C. SeedorfM
  • 25Bram MarsmanM
  • 9A. van den HurkF
Substitutes
  • 24J. DéomM
  • 8J. MensahM
  • 6M. PaulissenM
  • 17Guilherme Martinho PeixotoD
  • 10F. SchentenF
  • 26J. SleegersF
  • 2Luuk VerheijM
  • 19N. CrabuM
  • 32N. MaoujoudiM
Coach: R. Penders

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3VVV Venlo159243824+1429
5Roda158432118+328

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: VVV Venlo vs Roda

  • 26 January 2026Roda 2–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
  • 24 August 2025VVV Venlo 3–1 RodaEerste Divisie
  • 29 March 2025Roda 1–4 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
  • 25 August 2024VVV Venlo 1–1 RodaEerste Divisie
  • 7 April 2024Roda 2–1 VVV VenloEerste Divisie

Leading scorers: VVV Venlo and Roda

VVV Venlo

GoalsAssists

  • É. Clancy51
  • L. Schmidt51

Roda

GoalsAssists

  • A. van den Hurk90

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

VVV Venlo beat Roda 2–0. The model had made a win for VVV Venlo its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: L. Schmidt 53' for VVV Venlo, Amir rais 90+1' for VVV Venlo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.