Regular Season - 15 · 28 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Waldhof Mannheim vs Stuttgart II 3. Liga prediction

Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim

Our model says: Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 Stuttgart II

The model makes it 45% Waldhof Mannheim, 25% draw, 30% Stuttgart II — fair odds of 2.22, 4.00 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Waldhof Mannheim 1.84, Stuttgart II 1.38.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Waldhof Mannheim's rating is built from 51 3. Liga matches and Stuttgart II's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Waldhof Mannheim are 8th on 19 points from 13 games; Stuttgart II are 12th on 18 points from 13 games — 3. Liga.
  • Waldhof Mannheim have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Fortuna Köln.
  • Stuttgart II have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Verl.
  • Last 4 meetings: Stuttgart II 3 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 20 February 2026, ended Stuttgart II 3–1 Waldhof Mannheim.

More 3. Liga predictions

All 3. Liga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Waldhof Mannheim vs Stuttgart II

63%
Both teams to score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Waldhof Mannheim win Draw Stuttgart II win
  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–19%
  3. 1–27%
  4. 1–07%
  5. 2–07%
  6. 2–26%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read Waldhof Mannheim first; the other scorelines share the remaining 47%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Waldhof Mannheim at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Waldhof Mannheim vs Stuttgart II

Waldhof Mannheim

3. Liga

  • W2-1Fortuna Köln7 November 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Saarbrücken1 November 2026
  • W4-1Hoffenheim II25 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Würzburger Kickers17 October 2026
  • L0-3FC Ingolstadt 0414 October 2026

Stuttgart II

3. Liga

  • W1-0Verl8 November 2026
  • D3-3away to MSV Duisburg31 October 2026
  • L1-2Alemannia Aachen24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Fortuna Köln16 October 2026
  • W3-2Hoffenheim II13 October 2026

What these results say

  • Waldhof Mannheim conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Waldhof Mannheim had three goals or more.
  • Stuttgart II scored in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Waldhof Mannheim136162320+319
12Stuttgart II135352223-118

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Waldhof Mannheim

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 8% today

Win 5%
Draw 8%
Defeat 12%

Stuttgart II

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 8% today

Win 4%
Draw 7%
Defeat 9%

From our 3. Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Waldhof Mannheim vs Stuttgart II

  • 20 February 2026Stuttgart II 3–1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
  • 17 September 2025Waldhof Mannheim 0–1 Stuttgart II3. Liga
  • 27 April 2025Waldhof Mannheim 0–0 Stuttgart II3. Liga
  • 30 November 2024Stuttgart II 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga

Leading scorers: Waldhof Mannheim and Stuttgart II

Waldhof Mannheim

GoalsAssists

  • J. Ulbricht42
  • T. Boyd41

Stuttgart II

GoalsAssists

  • T. van der Leij40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Waldhof Mannheim a 0.4% chance of the title and Stuttgart II 0.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Waldhof Mannheim Stuttgart II
0.54 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.57
2.01 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 2.09
1.84 Model expected goals (this match) 1.38

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Waldhof Mannheim the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for Waldhof Mannheim against 1.38 for Stuttgart II. Waldhof Mannheim's attack/defence rating is 0.54/2.01 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/2.09 for Stuttgart II.

Waldhof Mannheim carry a model rating of 6.19 against 6.2 for Stuttgart II. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 45% for Waldhof Mannheim to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Waldhof Mannheim to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, Waldhof Mannheim's ratings take away 1 point and Stuttgart II's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 45%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level46%+2
  4. Waldhof Mannheim's ratings45%−1
  5. Stuttgart II's ratings45%±0

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Waldhof MannheimStuttgart II
13Matches13
6W 1D 6LRecord5W 3D 5L
23 1.8 per gameGoals scored22 1.7 per game
20 1.5 per gameGoals conceded23 1.8 per game
2 of 13Clean sheets2 of 13
3 of 13Failed to score1 of 13
1 of 1Penalties scored2 of 2
32 2.5 per gameYellow cards36 2.8 per game
1Red cards1
4-3-3 7×Usual shape4-2-3-1 5×

Waldhof Mannheim at home · Stuttgart II away

7Played7
4W 0D 3LRecord3W 2D 2L
11–9Goals for – against12–11
1 of 7Clean sheets1 of 7

League matches only, 3. Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All 3. Liga matches this season: Waldhof Mannheim 13, Stuttgart II 13.

Waldhof Mannheim scored 380317
Stuttgart II conceded 732531

Waldhof Mannheim score most often in the 16–30 minute window (8 goals); Stuttgart II have let in 3 there.

Stuttgart II scored 326372
Waldhof Mannheim conceded 224533

Stuttgart II score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Waldhof Mannheim have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Waldhof Mannheim

  • at MSV Duisburg5 Dec · 3. Ligawin 19%
  • vs SSV Jahn Regensburg12 Dec · 3. Ligawin 41%
  • at FC Viktoria Köln19 Dec · 3. Ligawin 19%
  • vs SV Meppen16 Jan · 3. Ligawin 41%

Stuttgart II

  • vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach5 Dec · 3. Ligawin 61%
  • at SV Wehen12 Dec · 3. Ligawin 21%
  • vs FC Saarbrücken19 Dec · 3. Ligawin 44%
  • at Rot-Weiß Essen16 Jan · 3. Ligawin 22%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.