Watford sit 17th in the Championship on 8 points from 7 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 9. The model rates their attack at 0.71× the league average and their defence at 1.35× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Stoke City 1-2 at home. That is 1.14 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.29 per game across 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 6 points behind West Ham at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 18th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Bristol City in the Championship on 18 September 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 10 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
Watford sit 17 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2Stoke City12 September 2026
- W2-1Preston8 September 2026
- L0-1away to West Brom5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Swansea1 September 2026
- D1-1West Ham29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Watford vs Bristol City
Watford travel to Bristol City at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol on 18 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Watford, 29% draw and 41% Bristol City, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.17 expected goals for Watford against 1.56. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Full preview and model analysis for Watford vs Bristol City
Recent meetings with Bristol City
- 27 February 2026Bristol City 1–2 WatfordChampionship
- 10 January 2026Bristol City 5–1 WatfordFA Cup
- 7 November 2025Watford 1–1 Bristol CityChampionship
- 5 April 2025Bristol City 2–1 WatfordChampionship
- 26 November 2024Watford 1–0 Bristol CityChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- Amin Nabizada3 goals
League goals this season.