West Brom vs Charlton Championship prediction & result
Final score: West Brom 1-1 Charlton.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% West Brom, 29% draw, 29% Charlton — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
West Brom at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — West Brom vs Charlton
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. O'LearyG
- 25N. GalvesD
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 4C. StylesD
- 26K. TundeM
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 17O. DiakiteM
- 21I. PriceM
- 7F. MyhreF
- 11J. Morgan
- 13M. IngramG
- 22C. TownsendD
- 2C. MephamD
- 15T. CollyerM
- 29H. WhitwellM
- 20R. NzingoulaM
- 19A. HeggeboF
- 23T. BanyF
- 9B. StewartF
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 20D. McNamaraD
- 5L. JonesD
- 44T. BindonD
- 17A. BellD
- 32A. MwambaM
- 6C. CoventryM
- 19M. AlliM
- 9K. GrantM
- 7T. Campbell
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 21T. BrooksG
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 18I. MesikD
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 14S. CareyM
- 16T. OumaM
- 30R. ApterM
- 35R. Nkeng
- 33M. MbickF
Form going into West Brom vs Charlton
West Brom
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Middlesbrough29 August 2026
- W3-1Burnley23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Norwich15 August 2026
Charlton
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Preston29 August 2026
- W2-1away to West Ham22 August 2026
- W2-1Derby15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: West Brom vs Charlton
- 24 February 2026West Brom 1–1 CharltonChampionship
- 4 November 2025Charlton 1–0 West BromChampionship
- 11 January 2020Charlton 2–2 West BromChampionship
- 5 January 2020Charlton 0–1 West BromFA Cup
- 26 October 2019West Brom 2–2 CharltonChampionship
Leading scorers: West Brom and Charlton
West Brom
GoalsAssists
- I. Price63
- J. Morgan54
Charlton
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
West Brom and Charlton drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for West Brom at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: C. Styles 59' for West Brom, T. Campbell 69' for Charlton. On expected goals it finished 0.57–0.39.