1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

West Ham vs Wolves Championship prediction & result

London Stadium, London
Full time4 – 2

Final score: West Ham 4-2 Wolves.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% West Ham, 28% draw, 29% Wolves — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts West Ham at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Mukasaassist: A. Engels
33'
⚽J. Bowen (pen)
42'
44'
⚽M. Munetsi
D. Mukasa
45'
⚽D. Mukasaassist: J. Bowen
53'
🔁K. Walker-Petersout: J. Veltman
56'
🔁J. Piroeout: T. Castellanos
56'
60'
🔁R. Gomesout: A. Armstrong
⚽K. Mavropanos
64'
65'
🔁R. Jimenezout: J. James
66'
🔁M. Munetsiout: T. Doyle
🔁D. Mukasaout: K. Lamadrid
69'
🔁Pabloout: M. Kante
69'
69'
⚽K. Mavropanos (OG)
🔁M. Solomonout: E. Austbo
79'
80'
🔁M. Maneout: T. Chirewa
87'
J. James
T. Castellanos
90+1'

Match stats — West Ham vs Wolves

43%Possession57%
12Shots18
6On target3
6Corners7
2.05xG0.94

Goals against chances

West Ham4 from 2.05 xGmore than the chances were worth
Wolves2 from 0.94 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

West Ham
  • 1M. Hermansen
  • 2K. Walker-Peters
  • 15K. Mavropanos
  • 3M. Kilman
  • 30O. Scarles
  • 20J. Bowen
  • 14D. Mukasa
  • 7A. Engels
  • 10M. Solomon
  • 19Pablo
  • 9J. Piroe
Substitutes
  • 49F. Herrick
  • 34J. Veltman
  • 63E. Mayers
  • 58A. Golambeckis
  • 21K. Lamadrid
  • 17M. Kante
  • 35E. Austbo
  • 66J. Ajala
  • 11T. Castellanos
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Wolves
  • 1J. Sa
  • 38J. Tchatchoua
  • 34N. Djiga
  • 24Toti
  • 3H. Bueno
  • 7Andre
  • 5M. Munetsi
  • 21R. Gomes
  • 28F. Lopez
  • 36M. Mane
  • 9R. Jimenez
Substitutes
  • 13J. Virginia
  • 37L. Krejci
  • 4S. Bueno
  • 17Pedro Lima
  • 20T. Doyle
  • 8J. James
  • 12B. Traore
  • 23T. Chirewa
  • 10A. Armstrong
Coach: Cesar Peixoto

Form going into West Ham vs Wolves

West Ham

  • D1-1away to Watford29 August 2026

Wolves

  • W4-1Stoke City29 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Preston22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1West Ham7421209+1114
7Wolves63211410+411

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: West Ham vs Wolves

  • 1 September 2026West Ham 4–2 WolvesChampionship
  • 10 April 2026West Ham 4–0 WolvesPremier League
  • 3 January 2026Wolves 3–0 West HamPremier League
  • 26 August 2025Wolves 3–2 West HamLeague Cup
  • 1 April 2025Wolves 1–0 West HamPremier League
  • 9 December 2024West Ham 2–1 WolvesPremier League

Leading scorers: West Ham and Wolves

West Ham

  • J. Bowen4 goals3 assists
  • J. Piroe3 goals
  • K. Mavropanos3 goals

Wolves

  • Fer López3 goals2 assists
  • R. Jiménez3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.