1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

West Ham vs Wolves Championship prediction & result

London Stadium, London
Full time4 – 2

Final score: West Ham 4-2 Wolves.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% West Ham, 28% draw, 29% Wolves — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

West Ham at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Mukasaassist: A. Engels
33'
⚽J. Bowen (pen)
42'
44'
⚽M. Munetsi
D. Mukasa
45'
⚽D. Mukasaassist: J. Bowen
53'
🔁K. Walker-Petersout: J. Veltman
56'
🔁J. Piroeout: T. Castellanos
56'
60'
🔁R. Gomesout: A. Armstrong
⚽K. Mavropanos
64'
65'
🔁R. Jimenezout: J. James
66'
🔁M. Munetsiout: T. Doyle
🔁D. Mukasaout: K. Lamadrid
69'
🔁Pabloout: M. Kante
69'
69'
⚽K. Mavropanos (OG)
🔁M. Solomonout: E. Austbo
79'
80'
🔁M. Maneout: T. Chirewa
87'
J. James
T. Castellanos
90+1'

Match stats — West Ham vs Wolves

43%Possession57%
12Shots18
6On target3
6Corners7
2.05xG0.94

Goals against chances

West Ham4 from 2.05 xGmore than the chances were worth
Wolves2 from 0.94 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

West Ham
  • 1M. Hermansen
  • 2K. Walker-Peters
  • 15K. Mavropanos
  • 3M. Kilman
  • 30O. Scarles
  • 20J. Bowen
  • 14D. Mukasa
  • 7A. Engels
  • 10M. Solomon
  • 19Pablo
  • 9J. Piroe
Substitutes
  • 49F. Herrick
  • 34J. Veltman
  • 63E. Mayers
  • 58A. Golambeckis
  • 21K. Lamadrid
  • 17M. Kante
  • 35E. Austbo
  • 66J. Ajala
  • 11T. Castellanos
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Wolves
  • 1J. Sa
  • 38J. Tchatchoua
  • 34N. Djiga
  • 24Toti
  • 3H. Bueno
  • 7Andre
  • 5M. Munetsi
  • 21R. Gomes
  • 28F. Lopez
  • 36M. Mane
  • 9R. Jimenez
Substitutes
  • 13J. Virginia
  • 37L. Krejci
  • 4S. Bueno
  • 17Pedro Lima
  • 20T. Doyle
  • 8J. James
  • 12B. Traore
  • 23T. Chirewa
  • 10A. Armstrong
Coach: Cesar Peixoto

Form going into West Ham vs Wolves

West Ham

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Watford29 August 2026
  • L1-2Charlton22 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Burnley16 August 2026

Wolves

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Stoke City29 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Preston22 August 2026
  • D2-2Blackburn14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9West Ham156543723+1423
4Wolves158432618+828

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: West Ham vs Wolves

  • 10 April 2026West Ham 4–0 WolvesPremier League
  • 3 January 2026Wolves 3–0 West HamPremier League
  • 26 August 2025Wolves 3–2 West HamLeague Cup
  • 1 April 2025Wolves 1–0 West HamPremier League
  • 9 December 2024West Ham 2–1 WolvesPremier League

The full West Ham vs Wolves record →

Leading scorers: West Ham and Wolves

West Ham

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bowen77
  • K. Mavropanos50

Wolves

GoalsAssists

  • Fer López63

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

West Ham beat Wolves 4–2. The model had made a win for West Ham its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Mukasa 33' for West Ham, J. Bowen (penalty) 42' for West Ham, M. Munetsi 44' for Wolves, D. Mukasa 53' for West Ham, K. Mavropanos 64' for West Ham, K. Mavropanos (own goal) 69' for Wolves. On expected goals it finished 2.05–0.94.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.