QPR vs Cardiff Championship prediction & result
Final score: QPR 2-1 Cardiff.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% QPR, 28% draw, 30% Cardiff — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
QPR at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — QPR vs Cardiff
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. CharlesG
- 27A. S. MbengueD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 48T. LampteyD
- 20H. ValeM
- 18G. KamaraM
- 24N. MadsenM
- 14K. SaitoM
- 15A. LloydF
- 16R. BurrellF
- 13C. WardG
- 19D. CirkinD
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 10I. ChairM
- 40J. VaraneM
- 25J. ObikwuF
- 11P. SmythF
- 22R. KoneF
- 1N. TrottG
- 38P. NgD
- 4G. OshoD
- 3J. BaganD
- 23C. ScanlonD
- 18A. RobertsonM
- 45C. AshfordM
- 11O. TannerM
- 10R. ColwillM
- 8J. MoylanM
- 9Y. SalechF
- 30H. TyrerG
- 44R. KpakioD
- 14D. TurnbullM
- 16C. WillockM
- 5K. BielikD
- 27J. ColwillM
- 33R. TankiewiczM
- 39I. DaviesF
- 47C. RobinsonF
Form going into QPR vs Cardiff
QPR
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026
- D0-0Bolton22 August 2026
- W3-1away to Portsmouth15 August 2026
Cardiff
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Sheffield Utd29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Derby22 August 2026
- D1-1Wrexham17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: QPR vs Cardiff
- 23 July 2025QPR 2–2 CardiffFriendlies Clubs
- 5 April 2025QPR 0–0 CardiffChampionship
- 27 November 2024Cardiff 0–2 QPRChampionship
- 1 January 2024QPR 1–2 CardiffChampionship
- 12 August 2023Cardiff 1–2 QPRChampionship
Leading scorers: QPR and Cardiff
QPR
GoalsAssists
- R. Kone51
Cardiff
GoalsAssists
- J. Moylan103
- Y. Salech51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
QPR beat Cardiff 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for QPR at 42%. The goals: R. Burrell 36' for QPR, R. Burrell 53' for QPR, P. Ng 75' for Cardiff. On expected goals it finished 2.09–0.60.