12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

West Brom vs QPR Championship prediction & result

The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Full time1 – 1

Final score: West Brom 1-1 QPR.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% West Brom, 29% draw, 29% QPR — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts West Brom at 42% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
🔁Paul Smythout: Leon Scarlett
38'
⚽Chris Mepham (OG)
⚽Callum Stylesassist: Felix Horn Myhre
41'
45'
🔁Nicolas Madsenout: Glen Kamara
51'
Glen Kamara
63'
Jake Clarke-Salter
64'
Jonathan Varane
🔁Toby Collyerout: Kareem Tunde
68'
71'
🔁Dennis Cirkinout: Kealey Adamson
🔁Felix Horn Myhreout: J. Morgan
74'
🔁Aune Heggeboout: Barney Stewart
74'
🔁Rabby Nzingoulaout: Ousmane·Diakite
75'
80'
Rumarn Burrell
81'
🔁Kwame Pokuout: Koki Saito
82'
🔁Leon Scarlettout: Alfie Lloyd
🔁Nathaniel Phillipsout: George Campbell
90+2'
Ousmane·Diakite
90+3'

Match stats — West Brom vs QPR

63%Possession37%
12Shots4
5On target3
5Corners3

Line-ups

West Brom 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. O’LearyG
  • 4C. StylesD
  • 3N. PhillipsD
  • 2C. MephamD
  • 22C. TownsendD
  • 20R. NzingoulaM
  • 8J. MolumbyM
  • 15Tobias Christopher CollyerM
  • 21I. PriceM
  • 7F. MyhreM
  • 19A. HeggebøF
Substitutes
  • 29Harry WhitwellM
  • 6G. CampbellD
  • 17O. DiakitéM
  • 13M. IngramG
  • 11J. MorganF
  • 9B. StewartF
  • 26K. TundeF
  • 31A. MaughanD
  • 35M. CrowtherM
Coach: J. Morrison
QPR 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. CharlesG
  • 27A. MbengueD
  • 5R. EdwardsD
  • 6J. Clarke-SalterD
  • 19D. CirkinD
  • 24N. MadsenM
  • 40J. VaraneM
  • 17K. PokuM
  • 20H. ValeM
  • 11P. SmythM
  • 16R. BurrellF
Substitutes
  • 18G. KamaraM
  • 15A. LloydF
  • 4L. MorrisonD
  • 2K. AdamsonD
  • 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
  • 14K. SaitoF
  • 23I. AlemayehuM
  • 13C. WardG
  • 33Leon ScarlettF
Coach: Julien Stéphan

Form going into West Brom vs QPR

West Brom

  • W1-0away to Derby9 September 2026
  • W1-0Watford5 September 2026
  • D1-1Charlton2 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Middlesbrough29 August 2026

QPR

  • D0-0away to Charlton9 September 2026
  • L0-1Middlesbrough5 September 2026
  • W2-1Cardiff2 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4West Brom7421107+314
5QPR733185+312

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: West Brom vs QPR

  • 12 September 2026West Brom 1–1 QPRChampionship
  • 29 December 2025West Brom 2–1 QPRChampionship
  • 6 December 2025QPR 3–1 West BromChampionship
  • 8 March 2025West Brom 1–0 QPRChampionship
  • 10 August 2024QPR 1–3 West BromChampionship
  • 6 March 2024QPR 2–2 West BromChampionship

Leading scorers: West Brom and QPR

West Brom

  • J. Morgan3 goals3 assists

QPR

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.