12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Preston vs Lincoln Championship prediction & result

Deepdale, Preston
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Preston 0-1 Lincoln.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Preston, 29% draw, 32% Lincoln — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Preston at 39% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Preston0%Draw5%Lincoln95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Harry Clarke
54'
58'
🔁Tom Baylissout: Ivan Varfolomeev
59'
🔁Robert Nicholas Streetout: F. Draper
🔁Liam Gibbsout: Leo Leroy
64'
🔁Callum Langout: Jusef Erabi
64'
🔁Johnny Kennyout: Delano Burgzorg
64'
68'
🔁Reeco Hackett-Fairchildout: Chiedozie Ogbene
68'
🔁Daniel Oyegokeout: Dom Jefferies
🔁Andrija Vukčevićout: Thierry Small
72'
🔁Stanley Millsout: Andrew Hughes
78'
81'
⚽F. Draperassist: Andrei Coubiș
86'
Dom Jefferies
88'
🔁Adam Reachout: Ryley Towler

Match stats — Preston vs Lincoln

52%Possession48%
11Shots9
3On target3
16Corners3

Line-ups

Preston 4-4-2
  • 1D. IversenG
  • 20L. GibbsD
  • 14J. StoreyD
  • 24O. OffiahD
  • 3A. VukčevićD
  • 4H. ClarkeM
  • 17S. MillsM
  • 15J. ThompsonM
  • 7A. DevineM
  • 10C. LangF
  • 38J. KennyF
Substitutes
  • 21L. NichollsG
  • 11T. SmallD
  • 2Pol ValentínD
  • 37D. BurgzorgF
  • 9J. ErabiF
  • 16A. HughesD
  • 27L. LeroyM
  • 6L. LindsayD
  • 23A. MoranM
Coach: P. Heckingbottom
Lincoln 3-4-2-1
  • 1G. WickensG
  • 25D. ElereweD
  • 4A. CoubișD
  • 15S. BradleyD
  • 33D. OyegokeM
  • 8T. BaylissM
  • 14C. McGrandlesM
  • 3A. ReachM
  • 7R. HackettM
  • 18B. HouseM
  • 17R. StreetF
Substitutes
  • 24I. VarfolomeevM
  • 34F. DraperF
  • 46J. GauciG
  • 16D. JefferiesM
  • 26Y. KonakM
  • 27C. OgbeneF
  • 19I. OlaofeF
  • 11M. LadefogedF
  • 6R. TowlerD
Coach: Chris Cohen

Form going into Preston vs Lincoln

Preston

  • L1-2away to Watford8 September 2026
  • W2-1Blackburn5 September 2026
  • L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026

Lincoln

  • D1-1Southampton5 September 2026
  • D0-0Blackburn1 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Bolton29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
23Preston7106613-73
8Lincoln732266011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preston vs Lincoln

  • 12 September 2026Preston 0–1 LincolnChampionship
  • 12 July 2024Preston 0–1 LincolnFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Preston and Lincoln

Preston

  • C. Lang3 goals

Lincoln

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.