Preston vs Lincoln Championship prediction & result
Final score: Preston 0-1 Lincoln.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Preston, 29% draw, 32% Lincoln — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Preston at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Preston vs Lincoln
Line-ups
- 1D. IversenG
- 20L. GibbsD
- 14J. StoreyD
- 24O. OffiahD
- 3A. VukčevićD
- 4H. ClarkeM
- 17S. MillsM
- 15J. ThompsonM
- 7A. DevineM
- 10C. LangF
- 38J. KennyF
- 21L. NichollsG
- 11T. SmallD
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 37D. BurgzorgF
- 9J. ErabiF
- 16A. HughesD
- 27L. LeroyM
- 6L. LindsayD
- 23A. MoranM
- 1G. WickensG
- 25D. ElereweD
- 4A. CoubișD
- 15S. BradleyD
- 33D. OyegokeM
- 8T. BaylissM
- 14C. McGrandlesM
- 3A. ReachM
- 7R. HackettM
- 18B. HouseM
- 17R. StreetF
- 24I. VarfolomeevM
- 34F. DraperF
- 46J. GauciG
- 16D. JefferiesM
- 26Y. KonakM
- 27C. OgbeneF
- 19I. OlaofeF
- 11M. LadefogedF
- 6R. TowlerD
Form going into Preston vs Lincoln
Preston
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Watford8 September 2026
- W2-1Blackburn5 September 2026
- L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
- L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026
- L1-3Wolves22 August 2026
Lincoln
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Southampton5 September 2026
- D0-0Blackburn1 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bolton29 August 2026
- L1-3Portsmouth22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Middlesbrough15 August 2026
What these results say
- Preston conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Preston failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Preston scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lincoln failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lincoln scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Preston vs Lincoln
- 12 July 2024Preston 0–1 LincolnFriendlies Clubs
The result against the call
Lincoln won 1–0 at Preston. The model had leaned towards a win for Preston at 39% and given a win for Lincoln 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: F. Draper 81' for Lincoln.
How the call on Preston v Lincoln has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Preston's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Preston win39%▼ −3
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Lincoln win32%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.