6 September 2026, 18:15 UTC

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Jagiellonia 2-1 Slask Wroclaw.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Jagiellonia, 28% draw, 29% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Jagiellonia at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Jagiellonia96%Draw4%Slask Wroclaw0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Szmytassist: S. Lozano
19'
⚽O. Sowassist: T. Romanczuk
41'
46'
🔁G. Tomasiewiczout: K. Linetty
46'
🔁P. Banaszakout: L. Marjanac
🔁O. Sowout: R. Conceicao
51'
60'
🔁P. M. Dembeleout: Ieltsin Camoes
65'
Alex Timossi Andersson
70'
🔁E. Shabaniout: J. Yriarte
🔁C. Polakout: B. Wdowik
71'
🔁S. Lozanoout: J. Imaz
71'
77'
•Piotr Samiec-Talar
81'
⚽P. Samiec-Talar (pen)
Guilherme Montóia
85'
87'
🔁P. Samiec-Talarout: A. Zulewski
🔁N. Prelecout: A. Konstantopoulos
90+3'
🔁A. Klyngeout: E. Kozlowski
90+3'

Match stats — Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw

49%Possession51%
11Shots13
2On target5
4Corners7
1.38xG1.87

Goals against chances

Jagiellonia2 from 1.38 xGmore than the chances were worth
Slask Wroclaw1 from 1.87 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
  • 50S. AbramowiczG
  • 15N. WojtuszekD
  • 5B. VitalD
  • 23G. MontoiaD
  • 2C. PolakD
  • 6T. RomanczukM
  • 19A. KlyngeM
  • 30O. SowM
  • 21S. LozanoM
  • 7K. SzmytM
  • 99N. PrelecF
Substitutes
  • 1M. PerchelG
  • 27R. ConceicaoD
  • 44A. KonstantopoulosD
  • 20B. WdowikD
  • 11J. ImazM
  • 14H. FinndellM
  • 85E. KozlowskiM
  • 8D. DrachalM
  • 32A. CirkovicF
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2
  • 1K. NiemczyckiG
  • 21A. TimossiD
  • 33Y. MatsenkoD
  • 5L. BaD
  • 44M. MalecD
  • 8M. LlinaresD
  • 7P. Samiec-TalarM
  • 20G. TomasiewiczM
  • 77E. ShabaniM
  • 19P. BanaszakF
  • 10P. M. DembeleF
Substitutes
  • 25M. SzromnikG
  • 3I. Christodoulou
  • 2D. SzalaD
  • 26A. ZulewskiD
  • 4M. DijakovicD
  • 17K. LinettyM
  • 15J. YriarteM
  • 11L. MarjanacF
  • 9Ieltsin CamoesF
Coach: Ante Simundza

Form going into Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw

Jagiellonia

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Lech Poznan3 September 2026
  • W5-2away to Raków Częstochowa30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to FC Iberia 199927 August 2026
  • W4-0FC Iberia 199920 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Rangers13 August 2026

Slask Wroclaw

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Legia Warszawa28 August 2026
  • D3-3Widzew Łódź22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Zaglebie Lubin15 August 2026
  • D0-0Cracovia Krakow9 August 2026
  • W2-1Raków Częstochowa2 August 2026

What these results say

  • Jagiellonia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Jagiellonia conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Jagiellonia had three goals or more.
  • Slask Wroclaw failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slask Wroclaw scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slask Wroclaw conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Jagiellonia137061818021
17Slask Wroclaw142481725-810

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw

  • 16 May 2025Slask Wroclaw 1–1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
  • 22 November 2024Jagiellonia 2–2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 8 March 2024Jagiellonia 3–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 26 September 2023Jagiellonia 2–0 Slask WroclawCup
  • 3 September 2023Slask Wroclaw 2–1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw

Jagiellonia

GoalsAssists

  • N. Prelec42

Slask Wroclaw

GoalsAssists

  • P. Banaszak50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Jagiellonia beat Slask Wroclaw 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Jagiellonia at 43%. The goals: K. Szmyt 19' for Jagiellonia, O. Sow 41' for Jagiellonia, P. Samiec-Talar (penalty) 81' for Slask Wroclaw. On expected goals it finished 1.38–1.87.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.