Wycombe
vs
Bradford
League One prediction
Our model says: Wycombe 1–0 Bradford
The model makes it 38% Wycombe, 31% draw, 31% Bradford — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Wycombe 1.18, Bradford 1.03.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%, under 2.5: 62%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Wycombe's rating is built from 59 League One matches and Bradford's from 61, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,277 matches.
Key facts
- Wycombe are 13th on 18 points from 13 games; Bradford are 8th on 22 points from 13 games — League One.
- Wycombe are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Burton Albion.
- Bradford are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Huddersfield.
- Last 6 meetings: Wycombe 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 6 April 2026, ended Wycombe 1–2 Bradford.
More League One predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Wycombe vs Bradford
Has the model earned this number?
Wycombe at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Wycombe vs Bradford
Wycombe
League One
- W2-0Burton Albion31 October 2026
- D1-1away to AFC Wimbledon24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Cambridge United20 October 2026
- W2-0Notts County17 October 2026
- L1-4Luton10 October 2026
Bradford
League One
- L0-3Huddersfield31 October 2026
- D0-0away to Oxford United24 October 2026
- D0-0away to Burton Albion20 October 2026
- W2-0Stevenage17 October 2026
- D0-0Leyton Orient10 October 2026
What these results say
- Wycombe scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Bradford failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bradford failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bradford kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Wycombe vs Bradford
- 6 April 2026Wycombe 1–2 BradfordLeague One
- 2 August 2025Bradford 2–1 WycombeLeague One
- 21 February 2024Bradford 0–1 WycombeEFL Trophy
- 4 November 2023Bradford 1–2 WycombeFA Cup
- 2 February 2019Wycombe 0–0 BradfordLeague One
- 25 August 2018Bradford 1–2 WycombeLeague One
Leading scorers: Wycombe and Bradford
Wycombe
GoalsAssists
- J. Wareham61
- F. Onyedinma43
Bradford
No player in League One's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Bradford (8th, with Wycombe 13th), while our numbers lean to Wycombe. Wycombe rate 0.64 in attack and 1.98 in defence, Bradford 0.42 and 1.20 (lower is better in defence), so Wycombe have been the better side in attack on recent expected goals, which the 4-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Wycombe a 0.6% chance of the title and Bradford 1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Wycombe the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Wycombe against 1.03 for Bradford. Wycombe's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.98 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.2 for Bradford.
How the model reaches 38% for Wycombe to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Wycombe to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Wycombe's ratings add 2 points and Bradford's ratings take away 3 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage42%+6
- Both sides at this match's level39%−3
- Wycombe's ratings41%+2
- Bradford's ratings38%−3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Wycombe at home · Bradford away
League matches only, League One, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Wycombe 13, Bradford 13.
Wycombe score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Bradford have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Wycombe
- at Barnsley1 Dec · League Onewin 40%
- at Mansfield Town12 Dec · League Onewin 28%
Bradford
- vs Milton Keynes Dons1 Dec · League Onewin 39%
- vs AFC Wimbledon12 Dec · League Onewin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.