Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Wisla Plock.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Zaglebie Lubin, 30% draw, 30% Wisla Plock — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Zaglebie Lubin at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
Line-ups
- 33Z. AlomerovićG
- 5A. ŁawniczakD
- 25M. NalepaD
- 3R. YakubaD
- 13M. GrzybekM
- 39F. KocabaM
- 8D. DąbrowskiM
- 6D. ČolinaM
- 44M. RegułaM
- 19S. ŁyczkoM
- 18F. SzymczakF
- 1J. BurićG
- 11A. WoźniakM
- 20M. DziewiatowskiM
- 30D. HładunG
- 37S. KerkM
- 26J. KolanM
- 9M. KosidisF
- 4D. MichalskiD
- 88M. MlinarićF
- 12R. LeszczyńskiG
- 4M. Haglind-SangréD
- 35M. KamińskiD
- 34Afonso SilvaD
- 21Ž. RogeljM
- 18J. PrširM
- 5Sidnei TavaresM
- 19D. GallapeniM
- 57S. AkereF
- 20Ł. SekulskiF
- 23P. KunF
- 41M. WięckowskiD
- 88K. SavvidīsM
- 17A. RadwańskiM
- 7O. KobackiM
- 9D. JurićF
- 16F. HiszpańskiM
- 10S. HamulićF
- 3M. FlisD
- 26J. BurekG
Form going into Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
All competitions we cover
- W2-1GKS Katowice12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Wieczysta Kraków7 September 2026
- D0-0Pogon Szczecin29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Radomiak Radom23 August 2026
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw15 August 2026
Wisla Plock
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Cracovia Krakow13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Pogon Szczecin7 September 2026
- L0-2Korona Kielce28 August 2026
- L0-5away to GKS Katowice23 August 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow7 August 2026
What these results say
- Zaglebie Lubin went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Wisla Plock conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wisla Plock failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
- 2 March 2026Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 25 August 2025Wisla Plock 2–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 8 April 2023Wisla Plock 2–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 18 September 2022Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 18 February 2022Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Zaglebie Lubin and Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
GoalsAssists
- M. Reguła50
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Plock won 2–0 at Zaglebie Lubin. The model had leaned towards a win for Zaglebie Lubin at 40% and given a win for Wisla Plock 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Łukasz Sekulski 44' for Wisla Plock, Said Hamulic 90+4' for Wisla Plock.
How the call on Zaglebie Lubin v Wisla Plock has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is the draw, up 2 points.
- Zaglebie Lubin win40%▼ −1
- Draw30%▲ +2
- Wisla Plock win30%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.