Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Jagiellonia 1-3 Legia Warszawa.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Jagiellonia, 29% draw, 32% Legia Warszawa — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Jagiellonia at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa
Line-ups
- 50S. AbramowiczG
- 15N. WojtuszekD
- 5Bernardo VitalD
- 44A. KonstantopoulosD
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
- 85Eryk KozlowskiM
- 19A. KlyngeM
- 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoM
- 11Jesús ImazM
- 7K. SzmytM
- 99N. PrelecF
- 20B. WdowikD
- 32A. ĆirkovićF
- 8D. DrachalM
- 14H. FinndellM
- 72K. JóźwiakM
- 21Sergio LozanoM
- 1M. PerchelG
- 2C. PolakD
- 9Dimitris RallisF
- 89O. HindrichG
- 24Z. ArsenićD
- 8R. AugustyniakD
- 5Robert DezielD
- 23M. ŠevčíkM
- 53W. UrbańskiM
- 67B. KapustkaM
- 19Rúben VinagreM
- 22P. WszołekM
- 17M. SzczepaniakM
- 7J. KuchtaF
- 79Ł. ZjawińskiF
- 20J. ŻewłakowF
- 27Bogdan V'YunnikF
- 4D. SzymańskiM
- 13A. RecaD
- 11K. ChodynaM
- 1I. BrkićG
- 6Henrique ArreiolM
- 9R. AdamskiF
Form going into Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Olympiakos Piraeus16 September 2026
- L0-2away to Wisla Krakow11 September 2026
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Lech Poznan3 September 2026
- W5-2away to Raków Częstochowa30 August 2026
Legia Warszawa
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Widzew Łódź13 September 2026
- W3-2away to Motor Lublin5 September 2026
- D1-1Slask Wroclaw28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Piast Gliwice22 August 2026
- W5-0Radomiak Radom14 August 2026
What these results say
- Jagiellonia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Jagiellonia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Jagiellonia had three goals or more.
- Legia Warszawa went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Legia Warszawa scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Legia Warszawa conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa
- 1 March 2026Jagiellonia 2–2 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 24 September 2025Legia Warszawa 0–0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- 13 April 2025Legia Warszawa 0–1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- 26 February 2025Legia Warszawa 3–1 JagielloniaCup
- 6 October 2024Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
GoalsAssists
- N. Prelec42
Legia Warszawa
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Legia Warszawa won 3–1 at Jagiellonia. The model had leaned towards a win for Jagiellonia at 39% and given a win for Legia Warszawa 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Rafał Augustyniak (penalty) 15' for Legia Warszawa, Nik Prelec (own goal) 20' for Legia Warszawa, Jesús Imaz (penalty) 35' for Jagiellonia, Paweł Wszołek 75' for Legia Warszawa.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.