Servette FC vs FC Luzern Super League prediction & result
Final score: Servette FC 1-1 FC Luzern.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Servette FC, 23% draw, 22% FC Luzern — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Servette FC at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Servette FC vs FC Luzern
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 78L. BessonG
- 23Q. MaceirasD
- 4S. RouillerD
- 15M. BurchD
- 14L. NjohD
- 6Pedro NaressiM
- 28D. DoulineM
- 9M. StevanovicM
- 8T. CognatM
- 77T. OuattaraM
- 90S. MrazF
- 44L. RiederG
- 37S. DjohoD
- 17H. MendesD
- 18B. MazikouD
- 34T. AllixD
- 11L. FombaM
- 20J. SimoM
- 38B. SidaF
- 41T. NunezF
- 30K. LeticaG
- 20P. DornD
- 13B. H. Freimann
- 46B. FreimannD
- 14A. CiganiksD
- 24T. OwusuM
- 80M. Zimmermann
- 6L. BertoneM
- 11M. Di GiustoM
- 16O. KabwitF
- 19D. MikolajewskiF
- 1S. SimoniG
- 5S. KnezevicD
- 22R. Dantas FernandesD
- 21L. LuthiD
- 29L. WinklerM
- 10L. SilvaM
- 15N. ToggenburgerF
- 71S. MeyerF
- 17S. Wyss
Form going into Servette FC vs FC Luzern
Servette FC
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Grasshoppers8 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Zurich1 August 2026
- L0-1FC Basel 189325 July 2026
FC Luzern
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Lausanne22 August 2026
- D2-2away to FC St. Gallen9 August 2026
- L0-3away to FC Sion2 August 2026
- L1-3FC Thun25 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Luzern failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Luzern scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Luzern conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Servette FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Luzern | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Luzern
- 9 May 2026FC Luzern 3–3 Servette FCSuper League
- 6 April 2026Servette FC 3–0 FC LuzernSuper League
- 22 November 2025FC Luzern 2–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 31 August 2025Servette FC 2–2 FC LuzernSuper League
- 18 May 2025FC Luzern 3–4 Servette FCSuper League
Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Luzern
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
FC Luzern
GoalsAssists
- D. Mikołajewski43
- M. Di Giusto43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Servette FC and FC Luzern drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Servette FC at 55% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Stevanovic 14' for Servette FC, A. Ciganiks 31' for FC Luzern. Sent off: Oscar Kabwit (FC Luzern) 20'. On expected goals it finished 1.64–1.23.