13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result

Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Akhmat 3-2 Dinamo Makhachkala.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Akhmat, 29% draw, 30% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Akhmat at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ismael Silva
2'
22'
🔁Timur Magomedovout: David Volk
31'
Temirkan Sundukov
43'
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov
Júlio Romão
45'
🔁Mohamed Konateout: Georgiy Melkadze
45'
🔁Kirill Shchetininout: Sergey Pryakhin
45'
45'
🔁Abdulpasha Dzhabrailovout: Egor Smelov
48'
⚽Gamid Agalarovassist: Daniil Lesovoy
⚽Kalidou Sidibeassist: Maksim Samorodov
58'
64'
⚽Temirkan Sundukov
🔁Júlio Romãoout: Manuel Keliano
65'
65'
Marat Apshatsev
⚽Andres Alarcon (OG)
66'
Miroslav Bogosavac
69'
Stanislav Cherchesov
70'
72'
🔁Marat Apshatsevout: Ilyas Akhmedov
72'
🔁Gamid Agalarovout: Valdemiro Pinto Domingos
Manuel Keliano
80'
84'
Mutalip Alibekov
🔁Maksim Samorodovout: Galymzhan Kenzhebek
85'
⚽Manuel Kelianoassist: Arsen Adamov
85'
89'
🔁Houssem Mrezigueout: Vladimir Khubulov
Sergey Pryakhin
90'
Georgiy Melkadze
90+4'
90+5'
Temirkan Sundukov

Match stats — Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala

60%Possession40%
15Shots6
4On target4
3Corners4

Line-ups

Akhmat 4-2-3-1
  • 1V. UlyanovG
  • 95A. AdamovD
  • 6K. SidibéD
  • 5K. CakeD
  • 8M. BogosavacD
  • 18Júlio RomãoM
  • 11Ismael Silva LimaM
  • 20M. SamorodovM
  • 17Egas CacinturaM
  • 10K. ShchetininM
  • 13M. KonatéF
Substitutes
  • 88G. SheliaG
  • 90O. NdongD
  • 19S. PryakhinM
  • 70A. GadzhievM
  • 97A. KasadzhikovF
  • 42Manuel KelianoM
  • 23G. KenzhebekM
  • 76E. MaksutiF
  • 77G. MelkadzeF
Coach: S. Cherchesov
Dinamo Makhachkala 4-2-3-1
  • 39T. MagomedovG
  • 77T. SundukovD
  • 24A. AlarcónD
  • 99M. AlibekovD
  • 23M. MakhamadjonovD
  • 6M. ApshatsevM
  • 21Abdulpasha DzhabrailovM
  • 47N. GlushkovM
  • 16H. MrezigueM
  • 88D. LesovoyM
  • 25G. AgalarovF
Substitutes
  • 19K. ZinovichM
  • 1D. VolkG
  • 52E. SmelovM
  • 11MiroF
  • 8V. KhubulovM
  • 13S. KagermazovD
  • 10M. HosseinnezhadM
  • 43I. AkhmedovD
  • 30D. AleksandrovM
Coach: V. Evseev

Form going into Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Akhmat

  • D1-1away to Rubin7 September 2026
  • D3-3Krylia Sovetov29 August 2026
  • W4-1FC Rostov22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Krasnodar15 August 2026

Dinamo Makhachkala

  • W2-0Rodina Moskva6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Rubin30 August 2026
  • L0-1FC Krasnodar23 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Krylia Sovetov16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Akhmat82421311+210
7Dinamo Makhachkala84041413+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala

  • 13 September 2026Akhmat 3–2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 10 May 2026Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 3 August 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 AkhmatPremier League
  • 18 May 2025Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 16 February 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 AkhmatFriendlies Clubs
  • 9 September 2024Akhmat 2–2 Dinamo MakhachkalaFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Akhmat and Dinamo Makhachkala

Akhmat

  • Egas Cacintura3 goals1 assists
  • G. Melkadze3 goals
  • L. Sadulaev2 goals3 assists

Dinamo Makhachkala

  • G. Agalarov4 goals
  • N. Glushkov2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.