Benfica vs GIL Vicente Taça da Liga prediction & result
Final score: Benfica 4-1 GIL Vicente.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% Benfica, 20% draw, 12% GIL Vicente — fair odds of 1.47, 5.00 and 8.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Taça da Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Benfica at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1A. Trubin
- 26S. Dahl
- 3A. Circati
- 2C. Lenglet
- 34S. El Karouani
- 10G. Sudakov
- 36J. Palhinha
- 30C. Echeverri
- 11D. Lukebakio
- 22J. Duran
- 21A. Schjelderup
- 24S. Soares
- 55J. Fonseca
- 6A. Bah
- 44T. Araujo
- 8F. Aursnes
- 16Manu Silva
- 88T. Freitas
- 13J. Kaminski
- 25G. Prestianni
- 94Samuel Portugal
- 47R. Esgaio
- 3A. Espigares
- 39J. Buatu
- 45D. Moreira
- 6Ze Carlos
- 19Guilherme Gomes
- 77Murilo de Souza
- 10S. Garcia
- 20G. Pinto Martins
- 99M. Kaba
- 30Lucao
- 1A. Picornell
- 2J. Silva
- 15M. Gning
- 12A. Lausen
- 32M. Fernandez
- 82G. Maia
- 17S. Bermejo
- 27A. Moreira
Form going into Benfica vs GIL Vicente
Benfica
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Santa Clara26 October 2026
- W4-1away to Omonia Nicosia22 October 2026
- W4-1Celtic15 October 2026
- W2-0Vitória SC11 October 2026
- L1-3away to FC Porto20 September 2026
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga
- L0-1FC Porto24 October 2026
- W2-1away to SC Braga19 October 2026
- W1-0away to Moreirense9 October 2026
What these results say
- Benfica scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Benfica won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Benfica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Benfica vs GIL Vicente
Benfica and GIL Vicente have met 7 times in the records we hold, Benfica has won 7 of them to GIL Vicente's 0.
The record
Benfica won the last one 4–1 on 29 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 5 |
| GIL Vicente | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 27 goals, an average of 3.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 29 Oct 2026
Taça da LigaBenfica 4–1 GIL Vicente - 13 Sep 2026
Primeira LigaBenfica 3–1 GIL Vicente - 2 Mar 2026
Primeira LigaGIL Vicente 1–2 Benfica - 26 Sep 2025
Primeira LigaBenfica 2–1 GIL Vicente - 28 Mar 2025
Primeira LigaGIL Vicente 0–3 Benfica - 28 Sep 2024
Primeira LigaBenfica 5–1 GIL Vicente - 4 Feb 2024
Primeira LigaBenfica 3–0 GIL Vicente
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Benfica's attack rates 100% above GIL Vicente's, and Benfica concede 10% fewer than GIL Vicente. That gives Benfica the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 1.62 | 0.78 |
| GIL Vicente | 0.81 | 0.87 |
The result against the call
Benfica beat GIL Vicente 4–1. The model had made a win for Benfica its most likely outcome, at 68%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: D. Lukebakio 36' for Benfica, G. Sudakov 40' for Benfica, D. Lukebakio 54' for Benfica, A. Lausen 56' for GIL Vicente, J. Duran 81' for Benfica. Sent off: A. Espigares (GIL Vicente) 82'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Benfica's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and GIL Vicente's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.