28 October 2026, 20:30 UTC

FC Porto vs Academico Viseu Taça da Liga prediction & result

Porto
Referee: S. Guelho
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Porto 1-0 Academico Viseu.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% FC Porto, 22% draw, 13% Academico Viseu — fair odds of 1.54, 4.55 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

FC Porto at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Porto98%Draw2%Academico Viseu0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

C. Smalling
15'
39'
Gu Costa
⚽S. Gimenez (pen)
45'
🔁C. Smallingout: P. Rosario
54'
61'
🔁L. Gohiout: Joao Guilherme
61'
🔁M. Bouldiniout: Andre Clovis
61'
🔁Valeryout: N. Mortimer
63'
S. Messeguem
70'
🔁C. Ferreiraout: A. Mestanza
70'
🔁S. Messeguemout: C. Kahraman
🔁Gabriel Mecout: Pepe
73'
🔁Souzaout: Zaidu
73'
🔁N. Perezout: J. Bednarek
78'
🔁S. Fofanaout: V. Froholdt
78'
90+5'
Joao Guilherme

Line-ups

FC Porto
  • 14Claudio Ramos
  • 18N. Perez
  • 6C. Smalling
  • 21D. Prpic
  • 52M. Fernandes
  • 16Hwang In-Beom
  • 22A. Varela
  • 33Souza
  • 42S. Fofana
  • 29S. Gimenez
  • 37Gabriel Mec
Substitutes
  • 24J. Costa
  • 4J. Kiwior
  • 5J. Bednarek
  • 12Zaidu
  • 20A. Costa
  • 89M. Mide
  • 13P. Rosario
  • 10G. Veiga
  • 8V. Froholdt
Coach: Francesco Farioli
Academico Viseu
  • 12J. Soriano
  • 21T. Domingos
  • 82H. Gambor
  • 2N. Michelis
  • 57Gu Costa
  • 6A. Ceitil
  • 18C. Ferreira
  • 47L. Gohi
  • 14S. Messeguem
  • 17Valery
  • 9M. Bouldini
Substitutes
  • 1M. Lavin
  • 41A. Correia
  • 75Robinho
  • 5Pedro Barcelos
  • 3M. Brau
  • 7L. Silva
  • 8C. Kahraman
  • 45A. Mestanza
  • 29A. Babic
Coach: Bruno Pinheiro

Form going into FC Porto vs Academico Viseu

FC Porto

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to GIL Vicente24 October 2026
  • L0-1PSV Eindhoven20 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Real Betis14 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Maritimo10 October 2026
  • W3-1Benfica20 September 2026

Academico Viseu

Primeira Liga

  • W2-1away to Sporting CP25 October 2026
  • W2-1Estoril10 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Estrela20 September 2026

What these results say

  • FC Porto scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Porto conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Academico Viseu vs FC Porto

Academico Viseu and FC Porto have met 7 times in the records we hold, FC Porto has won 6 of them to Academico Viseu's 0, with 1 drawn.

The record

FC Porto won the last one 1–0 on 28 Oct 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Academico Viseu016315
FC Porto610153

Between them these 7 meetings produced 18 goals, an average of 2.57 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 28 Oct 2026
    Taça da Liga    FC Porto 1–0 Academico Viseu
  • 29 Aug 2026
    Primeira Liga    Academico Viseu 0–3 FC Porto
  • 8 Feb 2023
    Taça de Portugal    Academico Viseu 0–1 FC Porto
  • 25 Jan 2023
    Taça da Liga    FC Porto 3–0 Academico Viseu
  • 17 Jul 2021
    Friendlies Clubs    FC Porto 3–2 Academico Viseu
  • 12 Feb 2020
    Taça de Portugal    FC Porto 3–0 Academico Viseu
  • 4 Feb 2020
    Taça de Portugal    Academico Viseu 1–1 FC Porto

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, FC Porto's attack rates 62% above Academico Viseu's, and FC Porto concede 39% fewer than Academico Viseu. That gives FC Porto the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Academico Viseu0.920.97
FC Porto1.490.59

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: FC Porto and Academico Viseu

FC Porto

No leading scorers listed yet.

Academico Viseu

GoalsAssists

  • André Clóvis51
  • S. Messeguem31
  • João Guilherme30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Porto beat Academico Viseu 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Porto its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: S. Gimenez (penalty) 45' for FC Porto.

How the call on FC Porto v Academico Viseu has moved

First published on 14 Oct at 69% / 20% / 11% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 65% / 22% / 13%: the biggest move is FC Porto's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. FC Porto win65%▼ −4
  2. Draw22%▲ +2
  3. Academico Viseu win13%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.