Benfica vs GIL Vicente Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Benfica 3-1 GIL Vicente.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Benfica, 23% draw, 16% GIL Vicente — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Benfica at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Benfica vs GIL Vicente
Line-ups
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 58Daniel BanjaquiD
- 44Tomás AraújoD
- 2C. LengletD
- 26S. DahlD
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 27RafaM
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 21A. SchjelderupM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 3A. CircatiD
- 22J. DuránF
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 72A. CabralF
- 13J. KamińskiM
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 16ManuM
- 30LucãoG
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsD
- 77MuriloM
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 12A. LausenM
- 27A. MoreiraM
- 23Héctor HernándezF
- 17Sergio BermejoF
- 19GuilhermeM
- 7T. TouréF
- 3EspigaresD
- 32M. FernándezM
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 99M. KabaF
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 11Joelson FernandesF
Form going into Benfica vs GIL Vicente
Benfica
All competitions we cover
- W4-0away to Moreirense9 September 2026
- W3-0away to Maritimo5 September 2026
- W2-1Estoril31 August 2026
- W3-1away to Aarhus27 August 2026
- W3-1Aarhus20 August 2026
GIL Vicente
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Academico Viseu6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Famalicao30 August 2026
- W2-0Casa Pia24 August 2026
- W1-0Rio Ave9 August 2026
What these results say
- Benfica won every one of these 5 matches.
- Benfica scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Benfica had three goals or more.
- Every one of these 4 matches for GIL Vicente had two goals or fewer.
- GIL Vicente kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 28 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Benfica vs GIL Vicente
- 2 March 2026GIL Vicente 1–2 BenficaPrimeira Liga
- 26 September 2025Benfica 2–1 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- 28 March 2025GIL Vicente 0–3 BenficaPrimeira Liga
- 28 September 2024Benfica 5–1 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- 4 February 2024Benfica 3–0 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
Leading scorers: Benfica and GIL Vicente
Benfica
GoalsAssists
- V. Pavlidis113
- G. Prestianni74
GIL Vicente
No player in Primeira Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Benfica beat GIL Vicente 3–1. The model had made a win for Benfica its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Hector Hernandez 7' for GIL Vicente, Vangelis Pavlidis 29' for Benfica, Vangelis Pavlidis (penalty) 87' for Benfica, Gianluca Prestianni 90+3' for Benfica.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.