1 November 2026, 20:30 UTC

SC Braga vs Famalicao Primeira Liga prediction & result

Braga
Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva
Full time3 – 0

Final score: SC Braga 3-0 Famalicao.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% SC Braga, 28% draw, 29% Famalicao — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

SC Braga at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
Vitor Carvalho
40'
40'
Mathias De Amorim
45'
🔁Leonardo Realpeout: Finn van Breemen
🔁Vitor Carvalhoout: Jean-Baptiste Gorby
45'
⚽Ricardo Hortaassist: Adrian Barisic
53'
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
60'
62'
🔁Gustavo Garciaout: Pedro Bondo Francisco
62'
🔁Marcos Vinicios Lopes Mouraout: Óscar Aranda Subiela
⚽Víctor Rofino Gordo (OG)
67'
70'
Rodrigo Pinheiro
70'
Rodrigo Pinheiro
🔁Ricardo Hortaout: Diego Henrique
75'
🔁Gabriel Martínez Aguileraout: Flinto Augusto Patrão Da Costa
75'
76'
🔁Roméo Beneyout: Juvenal Augusto Gomes Correia
76'
🔁Pedro Santosout: Gil Dias
81'
Óscar Aranda Subiela
Fra Navarro
81'
🔁Fra Navarroout: Pau Victor
84'
Sergio Barcia
85'
⚽Pau Victorassist: Victor Gómez
88'
🔁Mario Dorgelesout: Denis Huseinbasic
89'
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
90+1'

Match stats — SC Braga vs Famalicao

59%Possession41%
15Shots4
4On target1
7Corners1
1.19xG0.19

Goals against chances

SC Braga3 from 1.19 xGmore than the chances were worth
Famalicao0 from 0.19 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SC Braga 4-2-3-1
  • 31Bernardo FontesG
  • 2Víctor GómezD
  • 37A. BarišićD
  • 22Sergio BarciaD
  • 7Diogo TravassosD
  • 6Vitor CarvalhoM
  • 8João MoutinhoM
  • 20M. DorgelesM
  • 21Ricardo HortaM
  • 77Gabri MartínezM
  • 9Fran NavarroF
Substitutes
  • 44A. BajramiD
  • 29J. GorbyM
  • 23D. HuseinbašićM
  • 14G. LagerbielkeD
  • 17J. MiloševićF
  • 50Diego RodriguesM
  • 12Tiago SáG
  • 34E. TıknazM
  • 10Pau VictorF
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Famalicao 4-2-3-1
  • 25L. CarevićG
  • 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
  • 15Víctor RofinoD
  • 3L. RealpeD
  • 2Gustavo GarciaD
  • 6T. van de LooiM
  • 14Mathias De AmorimM
  • 18R. BeneyM
  • 10Pedro SantosM
  • 7SorrisoM
  • 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes
  • 1I. ZlobinG
  • 11Óscar ArandaF
  • 4F. van BreemenD
  • 30V. SerafimovićD
  • 33P. SalasF
  • 8Marcos PeñaM
  • 28Pedro FranciscoD
  • 19Paulo MoreiraM
  • 24Mathis JangealM
Coach: Ricardo Silva

Form going into SC Braga vs Famalicao

SC Braga

Primeira Liga

  • L0-1away to Nacional25 October 2026
  • L1-2GIL Vicente19 October 2026
  • L1-3Sporting CP9 October 2026

Famalicao

Primeira Liga

  • W4-0away to Rio Ave25 October 2026
  • L1-4Alverca12 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Nacional19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8SC Braga115241311+217
10Famalicao113441514+113

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Famalicao vs SC Braga

Famalicao and SC Braga have met 8 times in the records we hold, SC Braga has won 3 of them to Famalicao's 1, with 4 drawn.

The record

SC Braga won the last one 3–0 on 1 Nov 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Famalicao1431216
SC Braga3411612

Between them these 8 meetings produced 28 goals, an average of 3.50 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 1 Nov 2026
    Primeira Liga    SC Braga 3–0 Famalicao
  • 29 Oct 2026
    Taça da Liga    SC Braga 2–2 Famalicao
  • 19 Apr 2026
    Primeira Liga    SC Braga 2–2 Famalicao
  • 6 Dec 2025
    Primeira Liga    Famalicao 1–2 SC Braga
  • 25 Apr 2025
    Primeira Liga    Famalicao 1–1 SC Braga
  • 16 Dec 2024
    Primeira Liga    SC Braga 3–3 Famalicao
  • 18 Jan 2024
    Primeira Liga    Famalicao 1–2 SC Braga
  • 11 Aug 2023
    Primeira Liga    SC Braga 1–2 Famalicao

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, SC Braga's attack rates 21% above Famalicao's, and SC Braga concede 10% fewer than Famalicao. That gives SC Braga the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Famalicao0.920.97
SC Braga1.110.87

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: SC Braga and Famalicao

SC Braga

GoalsAssists

  • Pau Victor51

Famalicao

GoalsAssists

  • G. Koutsias50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SC Braga beat Famalicao 3–0. The model had made a win for SC Braga its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ricardo Horta 53' for SC Braga, Víctor Rofino Gordo (own goal) 67' for SC Braga, Pau Victor 88' for SC Braga. Sent off: Rodrigo Pinheiro (Famalicao) 70'. On expected goals it finished 1.19–0.19.

How the call on SC Braga v Famalicao has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 49% / 27% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 43% / 28% / 29%: the biggest move is SC Braga's chance of winning, down 6 points.

  1. SC Braga win43%▼ −6
  2. Draw28%▲ +1
  3. Famalicao win29%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.