Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13th in the First League on 4 points from 9 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 18. The model rates their attack at 0.48× the league average and their defence at 2.15× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently losing to CSKA Sofia 0-2 at home. That is 0.44 points a match, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.00 per game across 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats. That leaves them 21 points behind Levski Sofia at the top, in a table of 14. Among the 14 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 12th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Spartak Varna in the First League on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13 of 14, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-2CSKA Sofia16 September 2026
- D2-2away to Cherno More Varna11 September 2026
- L1-2Ludogorets6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Dunav Ruse31 August 2026
- L1-3away to Arda Kardzhali17 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to Spartak Varna at Stadion Spartak, Varna on 20 September 2026, 12:15 UTC. The model makes it 25% Lokomotiv Sofia, 29% draw and 46% Spartak Varna, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.90 expected goals for Lokomotiv Sofia against 1.64. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Full preview and model analysis for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Recent meetings with Spartak Varna
- 22 May 2026Spartak Varna 3–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 13 February 2026Spartak Varna 2–2 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 22 August 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 0–0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- 28 March 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 2–1 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- 6 October 2024Spartak Varna 3–2 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.