5 September 2026, 11:00 UTC

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Fritz Walter Stadion, Kaiserslautern
Full time3 – 0

Final score: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 SV Darmstadt 98.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 29% draw, 29% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Kaiserslautern at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

1. FC Kaiserslautern99%Draw1%SV Darmstadt 980%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
⚽Lance Duijvestijn (pen)
⚽M. Sauerassist: S. Sahin
43'
57'
Milan Smit
63'
Yannik Lührs
🔁M. Sauerout: S. Asta
63'
🔁P. Jolyout: M. Berisha
63'
⚽T. Tazemeta
64'
Simon Asta
67'
68'
🔁L. Kehlout: Lee Ho-Jae
🔁M. Haasout: A. Murphy
74'
🔁M. Ritterout: I. Kanate
74'
Maxwell Gyamfi
76'
77'
🔁R. Petrettaout: W. Mikelbrencis
77'
🔁N. Weisshauptout: I. El Kadiri
🔁T. Tazemetaout: D. Schramm
85'
87'
🔁L. Duijvestijnout: F. Kleinhansl
David Schramm
88'
⚽M. Berishaassist: S. Sahin
90'

Match stats — 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98

56%Possession44%
21Shots9
7On target2
9Corners3
2.63xG1.04

Goals against chances

1. FC Kaiserslautern3 from 2.63 xGabout what the chances were worth
SV Darmstadt 980 from 1.04 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. KrahlG
  • 33J. ElvediD
  • 4M. GyamfiD
  • 14J. RasmussenD
  • 26P. JolyM
  • 6F. KunzeM
  • 8S. SahinM
  • 22M. HaasM
  • 21M. SauerF
  • 7M. RitterF
  • 39T. TazemetaF
Substitutes
  • 40E. KamgaG
  • 2S. AstaD
  • 3A. MurphyD
  • 5K. FreesD
  • 37L. RobinsonM
  • 41D. SchrammM
  • 20M. BerishaF
  • 17E. YardimciF
  • 11I. KanateF
Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht
SV Darmstadt 98 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. SchuhenG
  • 28C. LannertD
  • 49Y. LuhrsD
  • 6P. PfeifferD
  • 18R. PetrettaD
  • 17K. KlefischM
  • 16H. AkiyamaM
  • 22L. KehlM
  • 41L. DuijvestijnM
  • 7N. WeisshauptM
  • 36M. SmitF
Substitutes
  • 30A. BrunstG
  • 25W. MikelbrencisD
  • 4G. DettoniD
  • 3F. KleinhanslD
  • 10N. VerkooijenM
  • 23C. SickingerM
  • 9Lee Ho-JaeF
  • 11I. El KadiriF
  • 44Y. FurukawaF
Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Form going into 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98

1. FC Kaiserslautern

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to FC St. Pauli30 August 2026
  • D0-0Karlsruher SC15 August 2026
  • D0-0away to VfL Wolfsburg8 August 2026

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Hannover 9630 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Dynamo Dresden16 August 2026
  • D2-2Holstein Kiel8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
31. FC Kaiserslautern11632107+321
17SV Darmstadt 9811236921-129

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98

  • 7 February 2026SV Darmstadt 98 4–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 31 August 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 11 May 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 2–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 14 December 2024SV Darmstadt 98 5–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 18 March 2023SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 11 September 2022FC Kaiserslautern 3–3 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga

The result against the call

1. FC Kaiserslautern beat SV Darmstadt 98 3–0. The model had made a win for 1. FC Kaiserslautern its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Sauer 43' for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, T. Tazemeta 64' for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, M. Berisha 90' for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. On expected goals it finished 2.63–1.04.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.