VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: VfL Wolfsburg 4-4 Energie Cottbus.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% VfL Wolfsburg, 26% draw, 20% Energie Cottbus — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts VfL Wolfsburg at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus
VfL Wolfsburg
- W5-2away to Karlsruher SC29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Hannover 9616 August 2026
- D0-01. FC Kaiserslautern8 August 2026
Energie Cottbus
- L3-4SpVgg Greuther Fürth29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Arminia Bielefeld16 August 2026
- W3-1Hannover 969 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: VfL Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus
VfL Wolfsburg
- F. Reese3 goals1 assists
Energie Cottbus
- T. Ciğerci4 goals1 assists
- J. Butler2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.