Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Dynamo Dresden, 29% draw, 30% VfL Bochum — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dynamo Dresden at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. SchreiberG
- 32J. SternerD
- 17A. MuhamedbegovicD
- 42F. MullerD
- 19A. RossipalD
- 18R. WagnerM
- 6N. RappM
- 10J. LemmerM
- 27N. HauptmannM
- 20B. BobzienM
- 9V. VermeijF
- 40E. BethkeG
- 44S. StraudiD
- 14B. EzehD
- 34T. NeiningerD
- 21T. RaschlM
- 24P. CovicM
- 16N. FrolingF
- 7K. OkpalaF
- 11K. InanogluF
- 1T. HornG
- 13O. OlsenD
- 15M. SteinwenderD
- 5K. MetsD
- 32M. WittekD
- 6E. CokajM
- 24M. PannewigM
- 7C. RasmussenM
- 23K. MiyoshiM
- 17G. HoltmannM
- 33P. HofmannF
- 38H. RollekeG
- 2S. KlaiberD
- 4Y. KarademirD
- 28C. PatinoM
- 34T. MeyerM
- 10B. TazM
- 37A. CrimaldiF
- 19D. HanslikF
- 14J. SteuckersF
Form going into Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum
Dynamo Dresden
All competitions we cover
- L3-5away to 1. FC Heidenheim29 August 2026
- W1-0SV Darmstadt 9816 August 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026
VfL Bochum
All competitions we cover
- L0-1VfL Osnabrück28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Eintracht Braunschweig14 August 2026
- L0-1Hertha BSC7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum
- 18 April 2026Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
- 21 November 2025VfL Bochum 1–2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 22 February 2020Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
- 15 September 2019VfL Bochum 2–2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 3 March 2019Dynamo Dresden 2–2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
- 25 September 2018VfL Bochum 0–1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum
Dynamo Dresden
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
VfL Bochum
GoalsAssists
- P. Hofmann50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
VfL Bochum won 2–1 at Dynamo Dresden. The model had leaned towards a win for Dynamo Dresden at 41% and given a win for VfL Bochum 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: K. Miyoshi 3' for VfL Bochum, K. Miyoshi 25' for VfL Bochum, B. Bobzien 41' for Dynamo Dresden. On expected goals it finished 1.82–1.40.