5 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Premier League prediction & result

Newcastle
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Newcastle, 28% draw, 31% Bournemouth — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Newcastle at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽Marcus Tavernier
Anthony Elanga
28'
35'
⚽Malick Thiaw (OG)
⚽Harvey Barnesassist: Lewis Hall
37'
Yoane Wissa
57'
🔁Joe Willockout: Matias Fernandez-Pardo
63'
🔁Lewis Mileyout: Jacob Ramsey
63'
66'
Justin Kluivert
Matthias Jaissle
71'
76'
🔁Tyler Adamsout: Lewis Cook
76'
🔁Justin Kluivertout: David Brooks
🔁Nico Gonzálezout: Sean Steur
77'
🔁Anthony Elangaout: Jacob Murphy
77'
87'
Adrien Truffert
⚽Jacob Ramsey
88'
89'
🔁Marcus Tavernierout: Daniel Jebbison
89'
🔁Rayan Vitor Simplício Rochaout: Ben Gannon-Doak
🔁Lewis Hallout: Valentino Livramento
90'
90+4'
Adam Smith
90+6'
🔁Alex Scottout: Ryan Christie

Match stats — Newcastle vs Bournemouth

57%Possession43%
8Shots17
2On target5
4Corners3

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-2-3-1
  • 21L. HorníčekG
  • 37A. DedićD
  • 12M. ThiawD
  • 4S. BotmanD
  • 3L. HallD
  • 6Nico GonzálezM
  • 67L. MileyM
  • 19A. ElangaM
  • 28J. WillockM
  • 11H. BarnesM
  • 9Y. WissaF
Substitutes
  • 20M. Fernandez-PardoF
  • 23J. MurphyM
  • 1N. PopeG
  • 2T. LivramentoD
  • 5F. SchärD
  • 8A. BambaM
  • 14Sean SteurM
  • 17B. TouréF
  • 41J. RamseyM
Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
  • 1Đ. PetrovićG
  • 15A. SmithD
  • 5J. HillD
  • 14António SilvaD
  • 3A. TruffertD
  • 12T. AdamsM
  • 8A. ScottM
  • 37RayanM
  • 19J. KluivertM
  • 16M. TavernierM
  • 9EvanilsonF
Substitutes
  • 24Juanlu SánchezM
  • 11B. DoakF
  • 10R. ChristieM
  • 7D. BrooksM
  • 18B. DiakitéD
  • 6J. SolerD
  • 20M. Di GregorioG
  • 29D. JebbisonF
  • 4L. CookM
Coach: M. Rose

Form going into Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Tottenham29 August 2026
  • D2-2Liverpool23 August 2026

Bournemouth

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Everton29 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Manchester City23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Newcastle103341316-312
7Bournemouth104331614+215

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

  • 18 April 2026Newcastle 1–2 BournemouthPremier League
  • 10 January 2026Newcastle 2–2 BournemouthFA Cup
  • 21 September 2025Bournemouth 0–0 NewcastlePremier League
  • 18 January 2025Newcastle 1–4 BournemouthPremier League
  • 25 August 2024Bournemouth 1–1 NewcastlePremier League

The full Newcastle vs Bournemouth record →

Leading scorers: Newcastle and Bournemouth

Newcastle

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Bournemouth

GoalsAssists

  • Evanilson54
  • M. Tavernier50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Newcastle and Bournemouth drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Newcastle at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Marcus Tavernier 9' for Bournemouth, Malick Thiaw (own goal) 35' for Bournemouth, Harvey Barnes 37' for Newcastle, Jacob Ramsey 88' for Newcastle.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.