6 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Full time0 – 1

Final score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 29% draw, 40% 1. FC Heidenheim — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Heidenheim at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SpVgg Greuther Fürth0%Draw4%1. FC Heidenheim96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽B. Zivzivadzeassist: M. Costly
🔁D. Srbenyout: O. Sillah
64'
🔁F. Ademiout: Jordan
65'
Krisztián Keresztes
66'
73'
🔁O. Mhamdiout: J. Niehues
73'
🔁M. Honsakout: C. Conteh
🔁J. Dehmout: L. Reich
79'
🔁S. Banseout: A. Keller
79'
🔁K. Keresztesout: H. Blank
84'
85'
🔁B. Zivzivadzeout: M. Zrilic
85'
🔁A. Vogtout: M. Breunig
90+4'
Jan Schöppner
90+1'
🔁out: T. Siersleben

Match stats — SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim

68%Possession32%
14Shots6
5On target5
7Corners2
0.6xG0.88

Goals against chances

SpVgg Greuther Fürth0 from 0.60 xGless than the chances were worth
1. FC Heidenheim1 from 0.88 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-4-2
  • 1F. HellsternG
  • 23J. DehmD
  • 22J. HeuerD
  • 29K. KeresztesD
  • 27L. ItterD
  • 37F. AdemiM
  • 13P. WillM
  • 6S. BanseM
  • 10O. PohlmannM
  • 30F. KlausF
  • 7D. SrbenyF
Substitutes
  • 39C. OrtagG
  • 2L. ReichD
  • 34H. BlankD
  • 4E. BenkaraD
  • 28D. ArifiM
  • 11A. KellerM
  • 21M. WallentowitzM
  • 9JordanF
  • 42O. SillahF
Coach: Heiko Vogel
1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
  • 33T. DahneG
  • 2M. BuschD
  • 6P. MainkaD
  • 19J. FohrenbachD
  • 27M. HeuleD
  • 22O. MhamdiM
  • 17M. HonsakM
  • 3J. SchoppnerM
  • 24M. CostlyM
  • 18A. VogtF
  • 11B. ZivzivadzeF
Substitutes
  • 1F. FellerG
  • 4T. SierslebenD
  • 23L. PaqaradaD
  • 16J. NiehuesM
  • 41M. ZrilicM
  • 38Y. WagnerF
  • 10C. ContehF
  • 14M. BreunigF
  • 8P. HennrichM
Coach: Frank Schmidt

Form going into SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

All competitions we cover

  • W4-3away to Energie Cottbus29 August 2026
  • L2-41. FC Nürnberg15 August 2026
  • D1-1away to FC St. Pauli9 August 2026

1. FC Heidenheim

All competitions we cover

  • W5-3Dynamo Dresden29 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Hertha BSC15 August 2026
  • W4-3VfL Osnabrück8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth113351319-612
71. FC Heidenheim114431920-116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim

  • 9 October 20251. FC Heidenheim 0–1 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs
  • 12 October 2023FC Heidenheim 0–1 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 April 2023SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • 23 October 2022FC Heidenheim 3–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • 3 April 2021FC Heidenheim 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • 5 December 2020SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Heidenheim

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

GoalsAssists

  • F. Klaus71

1. FC Heidenheim

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

1. FC Heidenheim won 1–0 at SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The model had made a win for 1. FC Heidenheim its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: B. Zivzivadze 12' for 1. FC Heidenheim. On expected goals it finished 0.60–0.88.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.